Le mar. 18 févr. 2025, 00:05, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> a
écrit :

> On Tue, Feb 18, 2025 at 9:51 AM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>>
>> If you assign probability to horse X winning, you are describing
>> uncertainty before the race is run, which is exactly the point. In standard
>> probability, that uncertainty is about a single outcome being realized. In
>> MWI, it’s about which branch an observer will find themselves in.
>>
>
> And how many branches is that? It is just about a single outcome being
> realized. Other possibilities are not realized. Same as with probability --
> One thing happens, others don't.
>

In a single-history universe, unrealized possibilities are nothing more
than fiction, they never happen, never will, and have no causal impact on
reality. Why invoke entities that don’t exist and never will to explain the
one outcome that does? That’s not an explanation, it’s just storytelling.


> The key question isn’t whether probability exists before measurement, it’s
>> why the observer should expect the Born rule to govern the distribution of
>> experiences. If you dismiss self-locating uncertainty, then what mechanism
>> in a purely unitary framework explains why we don’t see uniform
>> distributions or some other weighting instead of Born’s rule?
>>
>
> Why do you expect to see outcomes conforming to the Born probabilities?
>

Because experiments consistently confirm the Born probabilities. The
question isn’t whether they hold, it’s why they hold in a purely unitary
framework. In a single-world view, you assume the Born rule as a
fundamental postulate. In MWI, it should emerge naturally, but without a
clear derivation, it remains an open problem


> In a single-world framework, the supposed ensemble of possible outcomes is
>> purely imaginary, it never happens, it never will, and it has no more
>> reality than a work of fiction. Treating these unrealized possibilities as
>> if they have explanatory power is just storytelling, not a real mechanism.
>>
>
> You are obsessed with 'mechanisms'. This is quantum mechanics, not 19th
> century rods-and-wires stuff. What is the "mechanism" of gravity? With
> Newton we can reasonably say *Hypotheses non fingo!*
>

Physics has always sought deeper explanations beyond just stating “this is
how things happen.” Newton could say hypotheses non fingo because his
equations worked without additional assumptions. But if unitary evolution
is all there is, why should probability emerge at all, and why should it
follow Born’s rule? Dismissing this as an unnecessary question is just
assuming what needs to be explained.

Quentin


> Bruce
>
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