On Tue, Feb 18, 2025 at 10:34 AM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected]> wrote:

> Le mar. 18 févr. 2025, 00:32, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> a
> écrit :
>
>> On Tue, Feb 18, 2025 at 10:13 AM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected]>
>> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Le mar. 18 févr. 2025, 00:05, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> a
>>> écrit :
>>>
>>>> On Tue, Feb 18, 2025 at 9:51 AM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected]>
>>>> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> If you assign probability to horse X winning, you are describing
>>>>> uncertainty before the race is run, which is exactly the point. In 
>>>>> standard
>>>>> probability, that uncertainty is about a single outcome being realized. In
>>>>> MWI, it’s about which branch an observer will find themselves in.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> And how many branches is that? It is just about a single outcome being
>>>> realized. Other possibilities are not realized. Same as with probability --
>>>> One thing happens, others don't.
>>>>
>>>
>>> In a single-history universe, unrealized possibilities are nothing more
>>> than fiction, they never happen, never will, and have no causal impact on
>>> reality. Why invoke entities that don’t exist and never will to explain the
>>> one outcome that does? That’s not an explanation, it’s just storytelling.
>>>
>>>
>>>> The key question isn’t whether probability exists before measurement,
>>>>> it’s why the observer should expect the Born rule to govern the
>>>>> distribution of experiences. If you dismiss self-locating uncertainty, 
>>>>> then
>>>>> what mechanism in a purely unitary framework explains why we don’t see
>>>>> uniform distributions or some other weighting instead of Born’s rule?
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Why do you expect to see outcomes conforming to the Born probabilities?
>>>>
>>>
>>> Because experiments consistently confirm the Born probabilities. The
>>> question isn’t whether they hold, it’s why they hold in a purely unitary
>>> framework. In a single-world view, you assume the Born rule as a
>>> fundamental postulate. In MWI, it should emerge naturally, but without a
>>> clear derivation, it remains an open problem
>>>
>>>
>>>> In a single-world framework, the supposed ensemble of possible outcomes
>>>>> is purely imaginary, it never happens, it never will, and it has no more
>>>>> reality than a work of fiction. Treating these unrealized possibilities as
>>>>> if they have explanatory power is just storytelling, not a real mechanism.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> You are obsessed with 'mechanisms'. This is quantum mechanics, not 19th
>>>> century rods-and-wires stuff. What is the "mechanism" of gravity? With
>>>> Newton we can reasonably say *Hypotheses non fingo!*
>>>>
>>>
>>> Physics has always sought deeper explanations beyond just stating “this
>>> is how things happen.” Newton could say hypotheses non fingo because his
>>> equations worked without additional assumptions. But if unitary evolution
>>> is all there is, why should probability emerge at all, and why should it
>>> follow Born’s rule? Dismissing this as an unnecessary question is just
>>> assuming what needs to be explained.
>>>
>>
>> Anyone who has experience of dealing with small children, knows that
>> there can always be an endless sequence of "why?" questions. The trouble is
>> that such sequences always end up with something like "why am I who I am
>> and not someone else?" Some questions simply have no answers.
>>
>> As I have pointed out, MWI is inconsistent with the Born rule, so looking
>> for an explanation of the Born rule in MWI is rather silly.
>>
>
> You did not, you're just assuming what you want to prove.
>

As I recall it, we called the discussion off because you couldn't see that
the 2^N binary sequences from N trials of a measurement on |psi> = a|0> +
b|1> sre independent of the amplitudes a and b. So the sequences, which
give probability estimates, do not agree with the Born probabilities a^2
and b^2.

Bruce

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