--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "PaliGap" <compost...@...> wrote:
>
> 
> 
> --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "authfriend" 
> <jstein@> wrote:
> >
> [snip]
> > > 3) Judy: "And apparently completely missed the fact 
> > > that the "alarmism" resulted in actions taken to 
> > > successfully defang Y2K. It was a real threat, averted 
> > > because attention was paid to it."
> > > 
> > > 4) Me (a Mullah Nasrudin story):  "A friend noticed 
> > > that every morning Mulla Nasrudin would sprinkle 
> > > crumbs on his doorstep. 'Why do you do that, friend?' 
> > > : 'To keep the lions away' : 'But there aren't any 
> > > lions here?' : 'See, it works!'"
> 
> [snip] 
> 
> > > Go back to Judy's assertion at (3). Note that it is a 
> > > bald assertion. There is no presentation of evidence.
> > > 
> > > That's why the Nasrudin story is to the point. The 
> > > Nasrudin story is a charming way of presenting what 
> > > would otherwise be a dry point. Viz:
> > > 
> > > :: The failure of a catastrophic scenario to 
> > > materialise can never IN ITSELF count as justification 
> > > for any steps we may have taken to avert it ::
> > 
> > Since I never said it did, we can add "non sequitur"
> > to the "thought-stopper" charge.
> 
> The point is NOT "that you said it". Rather it is that as you 
> said nothing ELSE other than *what amounts to that*, the logic 
> of Nasrudin applied to you. 
>  
> > > (Think priests praying to avert the end of the world 
> > > next Thursday and then telling you smugly on Friday 
> > > "we told you so").
> > > 
> > > But in the absence of evidence - that is all Judy's 
> > > asserion at (3) is. So, in other words that's what the 
> > > Nasrudin story is - it's a request for evidence.
> > 
> > Well, no, it's not a request for evidence.  It's an
> > implicit assertion that there can *be* no evidence.
> > That's why I called it a thought-stopper.
> 
> You need to explain that. "Implicit" looks supicious. You mean 
> something like "it doesn't outright say this, but it means 
> this"?
> 
> How so? How EXACTLY does the Nasrudin tale "implicitly assert" 
> (whatever that means) that "THAT THERE CAN *BE* NO 
> EVIDENCE"? Now that there... Yes, that WOULD be a "thought 
> stopper"! Except that it does NOT entail or assert any
> such thing.
> 
> There is a threat: Lions, Y2K, The end of the world, whatever. 
> We do something: Scatter crumbs, spend billions, do some chants
> Time passes: No lions, no computer disaaster, no end of world
> 
> If we just say "see, we averted the disaster", The Nasrudin 
> tale is reminding us about some missing steps: Evidence that 
> the threat existed in the first place and that the measures we 
> took fixed the problem. That's all. Nothing else. It does NOT 
> say implicitly or explicitly "that there can *be* no evidence" 
> (as you put it). If it did it would be crazy.
> 
> So it is no "thought stopper". So there is no "intellectual 
> dishonesty".
> 
> Let's boil the cabbages once more:
> 
> You said: "The "alarmism" resulted in actions taken to 
> successfully defang Y2K. It was a real threat, averted 
> because attention was paid to it." At that point that's ALL 
> you said.
> 
> The priest said: "The "alarmism" resulted in actions (chants) 
> to successfully defang the world's end. It was a real threat, 
> averted because attention was paid to it.".
> 
> So enter Nasrudin - a request for evidence (no thought 
> stopper). You wouldn't accept the likes of that from 
> apocalyptic priests (as it stands). Why is YOUR case any 
> different? 
> 
> Of course you have NOW said more, and linked to an article 
> that looks for the white teeth in the Y2K's rotting corpse. 
> Fair enough. You've also added this: "...as for the countries 
> that did little or nothing and had no major problems, that 
> doesn't prove anything, given the vast differences between the 
> size and complexity of their infrastructures and the degree of
> the dependence of those infrastructures on electronic 
> information technology". 
> 
> I'm underwhelmed by that point I'm afraid. Actually Dutton had 
> said plenty on this in any case. e.g. "It must have been 
> galling for computer-conscientious Germans to observe how life 
> continued its pleasurable path for feckless Italians, who had 
> generally paid no attention to Y2K". 
> 
> Italy, eh? Insufficently complex infrastucture and dependence 
> on IT? Come on!
> 
> Finally, you say this.
> 
> > "You have a habit of leaving lots of stuff on the table.
> > You tend to pick out a tidbit here or there to address
> > in such a way that the original discussion gets derailed
> > and sidetracked. It's hard not to see that as deliberate.
> 
> And once again you see monsters in the dark shadows that just 
> aren't there. "Deliberate!". The explanation is much more 
> dull. Time does not allow all these things to be pursued at 
> once, especially if we're to try hard to get to the bottom of 
> an issue. I suppose my focus has been (rightly or wrongly) to 
> begin by trying to slay your imagined monsters before settling 
> down to a nice chat. Hence the title of this thread.
>


Anybody taking bets on how many more posts will be exchanged 
before she calls him a liar? The over/under should be pretty low 
even though she *has* pulled the dishonest card already. :-) 

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