--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "sparaig" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, akasha_108 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > wrote: > > > > Here are annual % change figures for DC violent crimes (and per > > 100,000 pop figures). Its interesting to see the big swings. This > > underscores the fact that there are probably a number of factors > > driving crime levels. If these are not controlled in the analysis, > > short term swings, annual, but most certainly 8 week periods, can be > > due to factors totally unrelated to the "intervention". > > > > Also, note that in 1992, the year preceeding the study, there was > over > > a 15% increase in crime. The year before was almost 0. So there > seems > > to be some snapback effect, high levels may cause more police > > crackdowns, higher funding levels etc the following year. > > > > The Me study "indicated" a 25% drop in crime over 8 weeks. This by > > itself should amount to about a 4% decrease in the annual rate. But > it > > went up 3%. But the next year with no ME effect, crime decreased > over > > 8%. Though having weekly figures would be best, even with annual > > numbers a 4% impact should be discernble. > > > > Geeze, Akasha, you just supported the ME while trying to discredit it. > > If the ME hadn't been in effect to cause a 4% decrease (according to > you) in annual crime concentrated during the Summer months, the > annual rate icnrease would have been 7%, which is comparable to the > next year's 8 percent.
Why do you feel that I am trying to discredit the ME study?I am simply trying to understand what was done, and am beginning to do my own analysis to explore the effect. I am not seeking any end result, i am not trying to prove or disprove anything. I am trying to see if there is such an effect. Via past studies, and via new analysis. btw, I don't really buy your arguments above of % changes, but we. ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> Get fast access to your favorite Yahoo! Groups. Make Yahoo! your home page http://us.click.yahoo.com/dpRU5A/wUILAA/yQLSAA/JjtolB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> To subscribe, send a message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Or go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ and click 'Join This Group!' Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
