Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "shempmcgurk" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "Patrick Gillam" > <jpgillam@> wrote: > > > > --- shempmcgurk wrote: > > > > > > Here's the article in question, Billie: > > > > > > http://tinyurl.com/hmron > > > > > > I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's "top > > > scientists" thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 > contacted > > > who had seen the movie or read the book. Wouldn't you? > > > > Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article > > only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie. > > > > "Those who have seen it had the same general impression..." > > > > Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, > > the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts. > > > > In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the > movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: "The > nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,' > Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy." ? Actually, quite emphatically yes. Actually a sample size of 19% is quite a substantial and meaningful sample. Often, quite valid samples, are <<1% of the relevant population (sample space). Granted, this was sort of a backwards and not random sample. Its not the same as drawing a random sample of the 100 and having then go see the movie. Those 19 out of 100 who went to see the film "on their own" might have some "self-selective bias". Yet, 19/100 is such a large sample, it sheer size most probably overcomes potential self-selective bias. On an alternative track, I believe one could show that a significant portion of this group of 19 would apppear significantly in all possible random samples of 19/100. Either way, its a pretty strong valid indicator of the views of the group. That is, the probablity of the views of the sample being very different than the views of the population is small. ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> See what's inside the new Yahoo! Groups email. http://us.click.yahoo.com/2pRQfA/bOaOAA/yQLSAA/UlWolB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> To subscribe, send a message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Or go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ and click 'Join This Group!' Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
