new.morning wrote: >--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Bhairitu <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > >>new.morning wrote: >> >> >> >>>My point from my past post was: >>>Of the 10,000's of conspiracy theories that were present in the 60's >>>and/or 70's and/or 80s that have not panned out -- only a few have >>>born any seeds of credibility -- far from a 1:1 correspondence between >>>conspiracy theories and their actual fruition 10-30 years later. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>This is just a statement you made up. And as Judy points out not >>necessarily true. >> >> > >Perhaps we are having a language malfunction here. Your statemetn >above implies that you believe that all conspiracy theories over the >past 30 years are true. My point, above, in other words, is that they >are not. > >If you truly believe they are -- eveything depicting a conspiritorial >charge written or voiced in the past 30+ years is true -- including in >the Berkeley Barb, The Inquirier, the British tabloids, Rush >Limbaugh, the John Birch Society (the communist conspiracy), Ted >Kazinski, posts om FFL, the Nixon Whitehouse (they are all out to get >me, the jews, the students, the arabs, the democrats, the ivy-leagers, >the marchers....), the Johnson White House, the Bush White house (the >muslim conspiracy) --- many more examples, etc, then enough said. I >think your "position", "view" and "state" are clear. > >If you don't hold such an extreme view, and do not hold that there is >a 1:1 correspondence bewteen each and every conspiracy theories and >their actual fruition 10-30 years later, then we are in agreement. > > > >>All I am doing is presenting these issues for peoples consideration. >> >> > If > > >>I want to play on a hunch or intuitive insight I will. >> >> > >Thats fine. Thats far from implying all conspiratorial claims in the >past 30 years have turned out correct. > > > >> My intuition >>has usually been more right than wrong regardless who crazy the idea >>is. A lot of people here thought I was wacko about the recent airline >>bomb plot when I pointed out it was bogus. Later the news showed it >>was. >> >> > >HAHAHAHA. You are a legend in your own mind. Some aspects of the plot >are weird, some odd, some amusing. But if you are implying the plot >was totally manufactured by Blair and Bush, and this has been fully >and indisputible confirmed in the press, then you really are quite >whacko. > > > > >>Now lets see some of your intuitive insight Mr. "I'm in Brahman." >> >> > >Huh? > > > >>>I am sure there is some small population of very insecure people who >>>react this way. >>> >>> >>> >>>In contrast, personally, I don't give much probability to theories >>>that have little or no evidence -- and have "odd" features. Other >>>things, with mounting credible evidence, I give higher and higher >>>assessements of plausibility and probability. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>Guess you're not a theoretical physicist or mathematician nor an artist >>nor musician. >> >> > >I have worked with risk assessment and and decisions under uncertainty >most of my professional life. Sounds like you have not. > > Indeed I have but I don't let left brain approaches be the only method of resolvement.
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