"Gun Control after Heller: Threats and Sideshows from a  Social Welfare 
Perspective"

U of Chicago, Public Law Working Paper No. 259
     
   Author:  PHILIP J. COOK
              Duke University - Terry Sanford Institute of Public
              Policy, Duke University - Economics Dept,
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
   
Co-Author:  JENS LUDWIG
              Georgetown University - Public Policy Institute
              (GPPI), National Bureau of Economic Research
              (NBER), Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
              
  Contact:  ADAM SAMAHA
              University of Chicago - Law School
    
Full Text:  http://ssrn.com/abstract=1338927 
 
ABSTRACT: What will happen after Heller? We know that the Supreme Court will no 
longer tolerate comprehensive federal prohibitions on home handgun possession 
by some class of trustworthy homeowners for the purpose of, and perhaps only at 
the time of, self-defense. But the judiciary could push further, if nothing 
else by incorporating Heller's holding into the Fourteenth Amendment and 
enforcing it against states and municipalities. In fact, the majority opinion 
offered little guidance for future cases. It presented neither a purely 
originalist method of constitutional interpretation nor a constraining 
doctrinal framework for evaluating other regulation - even while it 
gratuitously suggested that much existing gun control is acceptable. In the 
absence of more information from the Court, we
identify plausible legal arguments for the next few rounds of litigation and 
assess the stakes for social welfare.
 
We conclude that some of the most salient legal arguments after Heller have 
little or no likely consequence for social welfare based on available data. For 
example, the looming fight over local handgun bans - an issue on which we 
present original empirical data - seems largely inconsequential. The same can 
be said for a right to carry a firearm in public with a permit. On the other 
hand, less prominent legal arguments could be quite threatening. Taxation and 
regulation targeted especially at firearms might be presumptively disfavored by 
judges in the
future, along the lines of free speech doctrine. This could have serious 
consequences. In addition, Second Amendment doctrine might generally dampen 
enthusiasm for innovative regulatory responses to the problem of gun violence. 
The threat of litigation may inhibit policy experimentation ranging from 
micro-stamping on shell casings, to pre-market review of gun design, to 
so-called personalized firearms, and beyond.
 
 
**************************************************
Professor Joseph Olson, J.D., LL.M.                        o-  651-523-2142  
Hamline University School of Law (MS-D2037)         f-   651-523-2236
St. Paul, MN  55113-1235                                      c-  612-865-7956
jol...@gw.hamline.edu                               
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