It's hard to see how their ancient data could be relevant today. In 1998, there were 900,000 NICS checks. The next year, 1999, there were 9 MILLION. A ten-fold increase. Since January 2009 (and Obama took office), there have been 57 MILLION checks through the NICS system. That understates the number of guns legally transferred because each check may cover many firearms. Remember that private sales do not require a NICS check so there are MILLIONS of additional legal transfers. In an imaginary world where every charged criminal every year (1) used a gun for every violent crime AND (2) used a different gun for each crime, A COMPLETELY UNREALISTIC SCENARIO, the number of acquisition transactions would be about a million. That is 1/15 or 6.7%. The real percentage is likely to be less than 2% because gang members share guns and the "pot" of illegal guns that re-circulates among the criminal marketplace is pretty stable. **************************************************************************************************************** Professor Joseph Olson, J.D., LL.M. o- 651-523-2142 Hamline University School of Law (MS-D2037) f- 651-523-2236 St. Paul, MN 55113-1235 c- 612-865-7956 jol...@gw.hamline.edu http://law.hamline.edu/constitutional_law/joseph_olson.html >>> "Guy Smith" <g...@gunfacts.info> 12/28/2012 5:37 PM >>>
Referencing Cook’s “Guns in America” (https://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles/165476.pdf): Any criticisms on Cook’s survey methods, and does anyone have a viable estimate on the number of criminal transactions (as a percent of all transactions) in any given year? Guy Smith Author, Shooting The Bull ( http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0983240701/ref=as_li_qf_sp_asin_il_tl?ie=UTF8&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeASIN=0983240701&linkCode=as2&tag=frethimed-20 )
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