Clouds are aimed at enterprise computing. As an example, a project I worked on recently was almost cancelled because the time and cost to purchase, install, and switch on the hardware exceeded the time and cost to code the software (3 months for a team of 5). Software development has become much more efficient than it was several years ago....the main pain-points now are in the infrastructure. CIOs now want to shoot the people that run their hardware...and getting rid of the hardware is the next step. This is possibly not very palatable to many IT employees, which is why I think the cloud story as writ doesn't seem compelling...they finesse the *real* business value....a lot of out-of-work sysadmins. Regards, Saul
2009/10/19 ERIC P. CHARLES <e...@psu.edu> > <idle_speculation> > I don't think the cloud technology is ultimately intended for the end users > who are using it now. The disillusionment a few on the list are expressing > likely results from that. I am definitely not "in the know" from am industry > perspective, but from a consumer perspective I always thought the major draw > of cloud computing was ridiculously cheap, light, portable, full service > computers. > > I have an hunch we are not to far away from touch-screen tablet computers > the size of a kindle that will make young people wonder why anyone ever had > a desktop. You only need a big swath of ram, a fast wireless connection, and > a cloud. Portable devices do a lot of stuff nowadays, and if you are tech > savvy you can do a lot remotely, but the cloud stuff has the possibility of > making such things seamless for the non-savvy. After all, why would you ever > want more than just the programs and files you are using at this moment on > your computer? Why buy Acrobat when you can rent it for one cent a minute? > Better yet, sign up for a service (like the ones currently being used for > music access) and just get unlimited access to several hundred-thousand > commercial programs for a low monthly fee. Because it downloads each feature > as you start to use it, there isn't even a lag at start-up time. Hell, you > can give the computers away for free with a two-year subscription, and it > might even double as a cell phone. > > That ultimately might not do much for industrial application, but if the > servers got reliable, and were managed by trusted companies.... well... > that's a big commercial market. The technology isn't quite there yet, but > these companies are setting themselves up in anticipation. > > </idle_speculation> > > Eric > > On Mon, Oct 19, 2009 12:16 AM, *Owen Densmore <o...@backspaces.net>*wrote: > > On Oct 17, 2009, at 4:51 PM, russell standish wrote: > > The whole cloud thing as presented in this article leaves me a bit > > cold. > > Few of the articles are written by folks using cloud computing, thus > its just buzzword compliant hype. > > There really are some interesting cloud things happening, but I > haven't seen a good article yet on it. After using Amazon, its > clearly just hardware in the sky and not all that exciting. Mainly > useful for moving your IT infrastructure outside of your buildings. > > But GAE (Google App Engine) has serious interest. First of all, it > has a much easier way to build "web apps". It does NOT give you LAMP > > -- but it does give you an interesting replacement which makes > building web apps much simpler. And further, it integrates all the > Google Desk Top apps and other services and libraries (Maps, Earth, > Analytics and so on) into the GAE engine. The Google File System with > Big Tables is pretty wonderful too. World wide secure transactions > with a fragmented, replicated, file system. > > A third interesting cloud environment is Aptana, more programmer > oriented and comes with an Eclipse plugin/front end. > > Unfortunately, very few articles capture the cloud scene. > > > I don't want software as a service, I want it as an application, > > running on my own computer with my own data. > > Well, clearly cloud computing is not oriented toward desktop/personal > computer applications. So sure, you wouldn't want cloud computing for > your situation. > > > With open source, I can > > get the applications at the price I can afford, and adapt them if > > needed for my needs. > > Agreed .. but again, the target is not you. Its folks who want to > shoot their computers and servers and migrate away from the gawd awful > problems of maintaining their own IT infrastructure. > > Don't forget: one of the biggest problems companies is how noob their > employees are. The discipline of cloud computing is compelling for > companies not wanting their spreadsheets walking around in laptops > that travel world wide. > > > If I need serious grunt, then no cloud will solve > > the supercomputing problem - regular high performance computing > > centres are still needed for that (although if the Grid is ever > > delivered not still-born, that is an alternative). > > The best we've got so far in this area is cloud (web) render farms, > very popular and inexpensive for Blender users. > > > I can see some point in enterprise-wide clouds though... > > Yup. Actually, if I were building a small business today, I'd go > cloud, via the for-pay Google system. I'd fire anyone having a > company spreadsheet or document on their laptop and not in the cloud. > Or company email on their computer (POP rather than IMAP). It is > just > too expensive and dangerous. I was chief scientist for Sun's IT > department for a couple of years and the things civilians do would > blow your mind! > > -- Owen > > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org > > Eric Charles > > Professional Student and > Assistant Professor of Psychology > Penn State University > Altoona, PA 16601 > > > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org > -- Saul Caganoff Enterprise IT Architect LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/scaganoff
============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
