Greetings, all --

Nick, further to my observation that William Nordhaus may offer a thoughtful 
contrast, he has written a review of Pope Francis's recent encyclical:


http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2015/oct/08/pope-and-market/


I don't agree with everything Nordhaus (or, for that matter, Pope Francis) 
says, but it gives you an idea of his thinking.


Kindest regards,


- Claiborne -



-----Original Message-----
From: Nick Thompson <nickthomp...@earthlink.net>
To: 'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group' <friam@redfish.com>
Sent: Wed, Sep 23, 2015 8:38 pm
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Good climate change skeptics


Glen, 

I think you have nailed one of the origins of science-doubters: the
relation between the nomothetic and the idiographic (which you can google, if
you want to know more).  Briefly, there is no strong reason to believe that a
probabilistic generalization applies to my individual case.  Well, let me put
that round the other way: there is always some reason to believe that it
doesn’t.  So people will disbelieve science if the cost to them of doing so is
low, and the possible gains are great.  So, I think you have nailed one of the
sources of anti-scientific irrationalism.  

Having said that, am I allowed to
say, "Crap!  I wish you didn't have cancer!'

Nick 

Nicholas S.
Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology
Clark
University
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

-----Original
Message-----
From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of
glen
Sent: Wednesday, September 23, 2015 5:51 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied
Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Good climate
change skeptics

On 09/23/2015 02:15 PM, Nick Thompson wrote:
> Diet and Heart
Disease
> Chronic Lyme Disease
> Fibromyalgia
> Diet and Cancer
> Vaccination
and autism
> ???? and Alzheimer's
> Chronic fatigue syndrome
> Environmental
sensitivity syndrome
>
> First of all, I would like to recruit this list to
identify other issues where at least one of us Global Warming Believers departs
from some other equally strong scientific consensus.

Unfortunately, I don't
know the consensus in most of those categories.  I can wander off what my
oncologist claims about diet and cancer, though.  But my oncologist was trained
as a DO, which puts her credentials at risk in some people's eyes:

   
http://www.quackwatch.org/04ConsumerEducation/QA/osteo.html

So, the fact that
she takes the very conservative position that we just don't know enough about
the ties between diet and (my type of) cancer, is interesting to me.

> AND
then, I would like to have a discussion concerning  why and when we feel
qualified to depart from a scientific consensus.

I feel qualified to depart
from what she tells me because of my personal experience about what has worked
for me during chemo and the course of my experimental drug.  But these
departures do _not_ extend (by induction) to any general population.  I can only
say that what she tried failed and what I tried worked.  Granted, this is not
about diet and cancer so much as diet and cancer intervention.  I can, however,
proceed by deduction and suggest that I'm probably not an entirely unique
subject.  There are probably some generalizations that could be made and I can
explore the space of conclusions to speculate on what those might be.  To be
concrete, here's an example.  About 2 cycles into my treatment, I began to
experience a "welling up" in my throat, especially when bending over or going
upside down on my inversion table.  She tentatively diagnosed it as GERD.  She
put me on proton pump inhibitors and when they didn't work, motility promoters. 
Neither worked.  But I discovered that i nsoluble fiber _did_ work.  She doubts
me to this day.  And, to be honest, I often doubt myself.  Another issue where I
disagree with her is on the subject of fasting.  There are these somewhat
controversial papers that indicate medium-term fasting (more than 48 hours)
assists the therapy in triggering apoptosis (good cell death that minimizes free
toxins) and reducing necrosis (bad cell death where toxins roam a bit more
freely).  She maintains that people on chemo need to eat in order to sustain
themselves in the face of the poison.  I maintain that as long as we're
poisoning ourselves anyway, why not do a proper job of it?


--
⇔
glen

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