Ooooh, ooooh, I know what I think: Verbal Behavior, the Weather Man, and the Fundamental Lie of Professional Poker <http://fixingpsychology.blogspot.com/2012/04/verbal-behavior-weather-man-and.html>
----------- Eric P. Charles, Ph.D. Supervisory Survey Statistician U.S. Marine Corps <echar...@american.edu> On Sat, Feb 11, 2017 at 12:49 PM, Nick Thompson <nickthomp...@earthlink.net> wrote: > Dear all, > > > > We had an interesting conversation in the Friday meeting of the local > congregation concerning the question, “What does it actually mean to say > that there is a 50 percent chance of rain in Santa Fe tomorrow?” Exactly > what operations would you have to go through to discover if that claim was > appropriate or not? > > > > I took the position that whether it actually rained tomorrow had very > little to do with validating the claim. > > > > I am wondering what those of you in the diaspora thought. > > > > Nick > > > > Nicholas S. Thompson > > Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology > > Clark University > > http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/ > > > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove >
============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove