Glen writes:

"Even *if* we admit that the accumulation of biological artifacts (like shorter 
telomeres) "tells the story of our lives", there are some of us who don't 
understand, reflect on, or realize that story and some who do. My headaches 
have helped me be more episodic, I think. Maybe you need a good concussion or 
something to help you doff that narrative."
 
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/06/how-to-predict-the-future/588040/

I like the observation how such experts are able to explain away any violation 
of their predictions with `minor' changes to their model.   The hedgehogs just 
have too much invested in their narrative to make accurate predictions.

Marcus

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