In 1964 Johnson beat Goldwater by 60 to 40. The Kennedy/Nixon and Gore/Bush elections were extremely close. In all three elections the turnout was between 35 and 40 percent.
--- Frank C. Wimberly 140 Calle Ojo Feliz, Santa Fe, NM 87505 505 670-9918 Santa Fe, NM On Wed, Oct 28, 2020, 6:00 PM Frank Wimberly <wimber...@gmail.com> wrote: > I'm saying that in this election there will be high turnout and not a very > close election. > > --- > Frank C. Wimberly > 140 Calle Ojo Feliz, > Santa Fe, NM 87505 > > 505 670-9918 > Santa Fe, NM > > On Wed, Oct 28, 2020, 5:59 PM uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ <geprope...@gmail.com> wrote: > >> So, what about the question I asked? You have no opinion on whether high >> turnout negatively or positively correlates with narrow victories? >> >> >> On 10/28/20 4:52 PM, Frank Wimberly wrote: >> > I predict that Biden will win by a large margin and that the outcome >> will be clear on election night notwithstanding any outstanding uncounted >> votes. Young people are voting in unprecedented numbers and are reportedly >> voting against Trump. Similarly the elderly, who favored Trump over >> Clinton by 10+ percentage points in 2016 are favoring Biden over Trump by a >> similar margin, according to polls. >> > >> > The good thing about predictions is that they can be evaluated >> perfectly after the events have happened. >> > >> > Frank >> > >> > --- >> > Frank C. Wimberly >> > 140 Calle Ojo Feliz, >> > Santa Fe, NM 87505 >> > >> > 505 670-9918 >> > Santa Fe, NM >> > >> > On Wed, Oct 28, 2020, 5:20 PM uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ <geprope...@gmail.com <mailto: >> geprope...@gmail.com>> wrote: >> > >> > From: >> > >> > https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7 >> <https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7> >> > "6. High turnout makes razor-thin victories, like the ones Trump >> notched in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania in 2016, much less likely." >> > >> > Is that true? I've always heard that tight races lead to higher >> turnout, which would imply that high turnout would correlate WITH thin >> victories, not against them. >> >> -- >> ↙↙↙ uǝlƃ >> >> - .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. . >> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv >> Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam >> un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com >> archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ >> FRIAM-COMIC <http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/FRIAM-COMIC> >> http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ >> >
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