In this case, I think the reason is specific to this country at this time, rather than a general rule.

The reasoning goes, high turnout means more votes from the young, minorities, and those who say it doesn’t matter because nothing changes. In this country at this time, the first two categories are known to skew to the left. And there are a *lot* of potential voters in those categories.

At the demonstrations last summer there was usually a group carrying “Vote!” signs. I think it has sunk in that the future of the climate depends on who votes, and the young have a much bigger stake in that.

—Barry

PS. Apparently 43% of the early voters on the San Carlos reservation are first-time (but not necessarily young) voters. The Navajo reservation results are similar.



On 28 Oct 2020, at 19:19, uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ wrote:

From:

https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7
"6. High turnout makes razor-thin victories, like the ones Trump notched in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania in 2016, much less likely."

Is that true? I've always heard that tight races lead to higher turnout, which would imply that high turnout would correlate WITH thin victories, not against them.

--
↙↙↙ uǝlƃ

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