>Date: Tue, 16 Mar 1999 11:31:00 -0800
>From: Robert Theobald <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
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>Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Subject: reflections on the evolving Y2K debate: beyond Y2K fatigue
>To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>X-Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>
>
>Y2K  ATTITTUDES AND PATTERNS
>
>
>I have had the opportunity to attend a large number of Y2K events in
>Australia.
>The overall reaction clearly is that this is the time to look at the broader
>issues and desired futures. It is the time to push trends which are already
>emerging in the culture. This pattern has led to the following musings which I
>hope may be useful.
>
>I want to share some emerging thoughts with you about Y2K and the confusion I
>think we are feeling. I don't think that there is anything very new here but I
>do think that some of the language and its brevity may be helpful.
>
>The initial Y2K issue was how much we could fix the bug: the hope was that it
>would be possible to limit the damage so that there would be at worst a
>bump in
>the road.
>
>As community people realised that it was almost inevitable that there would
>indeed be a bump in the road, then it became obvious that there was a need for
>preparedness. The model that developed proposed that people should stock food
>and water for a given number of days. There  are also suggestions for
>preparing
>for interruptions in energy and money supply, etc.
>
>This fell easily into parallels with disaster preparation. The work that is
>going is obviously useful for people have indeed become far too casual about
>what might go wrong and what they need to have available to them if there are
>disasters  e.g in ice-storms, high winds, electricity and gas failures etc.
>This model assumes that there will be a short period of major disruption and
>that realities will then go back to their previous shape.
>
>It seems to me, however, that the debate has moved on. The people who I
>respect
>are arguing that while there may be short-run dangers, the real issues are far
>more complex. They believe that the overall industrial system is dangerously
>stressed. They think that if things do go wrong, breakdowns will take place
>over time and will damage the infrastructure on which we have come to rely in
>unexpected and unpredictable ways.
>
>If this is the case, we need a second level of preparation which is quite
>different in nature. The best way I have so far found to get at this is to
>provide a parallel with attitudes to the human body. One could not live
>well if
>one spent one's whole time worrying about all of the diseases one can possibly
>catch. One needs to have a general awareness of one's body and to be aware of
>specific dangers which come from one's specific circumstances but the most
>important goal is to build one's health and immune system.
>
>At the present time, it seems to me that we are greatly in danger of asking
>people to try to understand all the possible breakdowns which could emerge
>from
>Y2K. This is leading to "Y2K fatigue" as people find that they are getting
>whiplashed by contradictory experiences. I am convinced that we need to help
>them to see that there is an overall set of responses which are relevant and
>which we have aimed to evoke by the term resilience.
>
>People will only see the need for resilience if they tackle the Y2K crisis
>at a
>deep level where they understand that it is challenging the core of the
>beliefs
>that we have used to shape our realities in the twentieth century. They will
>then move on to see that we are indeed being forced to develop a new set of
>understandings and beliefs.
>
>Y2K is indeed a catalyst and an opportunity. But it cannot operate in this way
>unless we enable people to approach it from a values and spiritual base.
>
>What does this mean in specific terms. It means that we must affirm the need
>for preparedness as there will necessarily be times when families and
>neighborhoods will need to support themselves. But preparedness is not
>particularly a Y2K issue. Rather it is part of an overall  failure to
>grasp the
>reality that the challenge in any culture is to deal with failures as they
>occur rather than to believe that all failures can be avoided. It is part of
>the needed shift to recognizing that mistakes are part of life and are
>learning
>potentials but only if they are admitted rather than denied.
>
>The real Y2K challenge is to see it as the forerunner of massive changes
>in the
>21st century. Our future goals must be quite different than those of the past.
>We need to state clearly that human survival requires a profound shift from a
>quantity of goods to a quality of life orientation. It demands that we commit
>to social cohesion, ecological integrity and effective decision-making. It
>demands that we live on the basis of positive values. It requires that we move
>from mechanical to organic metaphors.
>
>(To gain further perspective please check out www.resilientcommunities.org. If
>you are based in North America please consider getting involved in the April 8
>satelllite conversation. If you are based in Australia, we are exploring
>whether a resilient community or capacity building approach is one which is
>likely to coalesce the growing energy.)
>
>
>Blessings and Peace,
>
>Robert
>
>East 202 Rockwood Blvd, #1,
>Spokane, Wa 99202, USA
>509-835-3569
>e-mail:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
>http://www.transform.org/transform/tlc/rtpage.html
>
>
>1999 will be a tumultuous year. How do we cooperate to create strange
>attractors which change dynamics in positive directions?
>For our process answer see www.resilientcommunities.org
>

**************************************************
*  Brian McAndrews, Practicum Coordinator        *
*  Faculty of Education, Queen's University      *
*  Kingston, Ontario K7L 3N6                     *
*  FAX:(613) 533-6307  Phone (613) 533-6000x74937*
*  e-mail:   [EMAIL PROTECTED]            *
*  "The limits of our language means the limits  *
*   of our world"    Wittgenstein                *
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