FOR WHAT IT'S WORTH, the struggle within the Bush administration is getting
more attention than Karen Hughes ever wanted it to get: see snippet below
from
http://www.stratfor.com/fib/fib_view.php?ID=205737

I also heard an insightful comment on National Public Radio (Talk of the
Nation, I think) about most Americans' perception of the Saudis as our
friends/allies vs enemies: for many Americans the only memory of the Saudis
is as our very cooperative allies during Desert Storm a decade ago; however,
their motives and interests are different today, obviously, because Kuwait
has not been occupied again and there is not immediate fear that SH can or
is interested in taking control of a neighbor's oil production.

It's obvious to everyone on this list, at least, that much has changed in 10
years and the same conditions and political environment no longer are there,
but to the average voter the assumption remains that SA is still one of
America's best friends in the ME.  Thus, a PR campaign to justify ambitious
and hastily made plans, and that's why so much of this appears fragmented
and poorly researched, regardless of 9/11 as a pivotal marker that "changed
everything". You can use that only so much. Pearl Harbor didn't change the
agenda, conditions and action in Japan's warfare in the Pacific all it did
was change our response.

Likewise, 9/11 didn't change the history, decades of violence and attempts
at peace and their failure, or the sociopolitical culture that greeted Bush
& Cheney on 9/12. We are in the process of mythmaking, just as the Gulf of
Tonkin "incident" justified Johnson accelerating US activity in SE Asia.
9/11 is being used as an excuse, not a justification.  Identifying WMD and
the threat of their use is justification for regime change, not speculation
and conjecture or wishful thinking.

However, historians are kept busy writing books about just such decisions
and calls to war for far sillier reasons. -  Karen
The Iraq Obsession: Summary
14 August 2002
Opposition to a U.S. attack on Iraq is increasingly being voiced
internationally and within Washington. Despite the divisions it is causing,
the Bush administration is not abandoning its strategy because it sees a
successful campaign against Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein as a prime way to
shatter the psychological advantage within the Islamist movement and
demonstrate U.S. power.

Analysis

The diplomatic and political walls began to close in on the Bush
administration's Iraq policy last week. First, German Chancellor Gerhard
Schroeder very publicly announced something Berlin had been saying privately
for years: The German government wants no part in any invasion of Iraq. Then
Republican House majority leader Dick Armey said he saw little justification
for an Iraqi operation.

Schroeder's stance may be mainly a political ploy aimed at Germany's Sept.
22 elections as he currently is trailing conservative challenger Edmund
Stoiber, who has taken a more pro-U.S. military stance. But Washington must
still take seriously the opposition to an Iraq campaign within the German
government and populace. Germany is a key staging area for U.S. forces.
There are pre-positioned equipment and forces based in the country that
undoubtedly would be needed for any attack. Depending on the opposition,
U.S. bases in Germany might not be available for use.

The statement from Armey also means that in addition to expected opposition
from liberals, Bush could face the same from his own political base. At this
point it seems there are very few outside the Bush administration who want
an Iraq invasion, with the possible exception of the British government and
Israel.

Bill wrote:
Keith, I agree that there is a struggle going on in the Bush
administration. Even though 'W' is not a match for the brain power
surrounding him, you have to remember that his background and wealth is
in and from oil and he probably has a much warmer feeling for Saudi money
than anyone else there.

Bill


Reply via email to