Numbers are always hard (especially if the base-line hasn't been quantified), but it is clear that Washington is slowly coming to its senses, and that those who have always been skeptical of the Bush admin claims are finding ways to language and channel their opposition. I haven't looked at the Slate estimate, but I would put war with Iraq down around 20% probability, at most. Powell has done a great job, anti-war US activists, too. And we can thank North Korea for their inadvertant help, as well.
Perle, Wolfowitz et al must be crying in their milk, or whatever the metaphor is.... Of course, there is still that nagging probability, so everyone should keep on denouncing the possibility of war and the shabby logic that lies behind it. Cheers, Lawry > -----Original Message----- > From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > Sent: Friday, January 03, 2003 2:48 PM > To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > Subject: [Futurework] the odds of war > > > > Some nonsense with numbers. But still may be of interest to > some. The odds > of war with Iraq. > > http://slate.msn.com/id/2076318/ > _______________________________________________ > Futurework mailing list > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > http://scribe.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework > _______________________________________________ Futurework mailing list [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://scribe.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework