Ahok protests reveal Indonesia's struggle between secular and religious politics

Nyshka Chandran | @nyshkac21 Hours AgoCNBC.com
  
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A Christian leader in a Muslim land: Indonesia's battle to balance reli...
 By Agoes Rudianto / Anadolu Agency / Getty Images A series of highly-charged 
protests over a Christian politician reflects the ideological battle gripping 
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A series of highly-charged protests over an Indonesian Christian politician 
reflects the extent of the ideological battle gripping Southeast Asia's largest 
economyThere are now fears that the growing religious unrest, mixed with 
political tensions, could distract Indonesia's leadership from much-needed 
reforms.Agoes Rudianto / Anadolu Agency / Getty ImagesIndonesian Muslims 
demanded the acceleration of legal proceedings against Jakarta Governor Basuki 
Ahok Tjahaja Purnama on December 02, 2016.
Rally and counter-rally
A Christian of Chinese ethnicity in the world's largest Muslim-majority nation, 
Jakarta Governor Basuki Tjahaja Purnama—known as Ahok—was accused of insulting 
Islam after he cited a Koranic verse that suggests Muslims should not take Jews 
or Christian as allies or leaders in a September 27 speech.Ahok, who is running 
to keep his seat in February's gubernatorial elections, said Indonesians should 
not be deceived by people who used the verse to influence the election. Despite 
apologizing, the politician is being investigated by police and now faces 
potential charges of blasphemy amid national unrest.On Oct. 14, thousands 
marched in Jakarta, demanding legal action against the governor. Similar 
protests followed in other cities, including Surabaya and Bandung. On Nov. 4, a 
50,000-strong demonstration resulted in clashes with police that injured more 
than 100 people and left one dead. On Dec. 2, around 200,000 protested, urging 
for Ahok's ejection from office.Shaken by the religious divide, more than 
10,000 people held a counter-rally on Nov. 21, calling for tolerance. A second 
unity demonstration was held on Dec. 4, with around 30,000 in attendance.

A deeper divide
Indonesia is known for its moderate brand of Islam. The country's largest 
Muslim organizations—Nahdlatul Ulama and Muhammadiyah—do not support the 
anti-Ahok rallies and have urged Muslims to remain calm.But hardline groups 
such as the Islamic Defenders Front (FDI), organizers of the anti-Ahok 
protests, are widespread. The FDI, who calls for a formal adoption of sharia 
law, follows a specific interpretation of Sunni Islam that labels non-Muslims 
"infidels" and has been implicated in violent attacks against minority 
religions, according to Human Rights Watch.The FDI's teachings challenge a key 
philosophy that has governed Indonesia since 1985: Pancasila, a secular 
principle based on the idea of national unity and a belief in one god, the 
identity of whom is left open to individual interpretation.The debate about the 
role of Islam in a secular state, combined with the growing strength of radical 
entities like the FDI, are the key themes underpinning national anger towards 
Ahok, Dina Afrianty, research fellow at Australian Catholic University, told 
CNBC.Jakarta rallies distracting Jokowi from priorities: Expert  Friday, 2 Dec 
2016 | 12:20 AM ET | 01:46"We're dealing with implications of a long-term rise 
in conservatism," Douglas Ramage, managing director at consulting firm Bower 
Group Asia, agreed.And there is the additional risk that the FDI-led protests 
could provide a fresh opportunity for global terror network Islamic State to 
expand its membership in Indonesia by capitalizing on the conservative fervor.
Religious politics or just politics?
Adding to the explosive situation is a theory that Islam isn't actually at the 
heart of the political unrest.
"Rumors are circulating in Jakarta that former president Susilo Bambang 
Yudhoyono is actually the source of funding behind these protests," said 
Afrianty. That line of thinking had led moderate Indonesians to believe the 
protests had more to do with politics than Islam, she continued.The rumor 
emerged last month after President Joko Widodo, or Jokowi, said "political 
actors" were exploiting the situation. Yudhoyono's family has vehemently denied 
involvement in the protests.Regardless of the motive, the protests and 
influence of fundamentalist groups could hurt Jokowi's administration."This 
makes the job of Jokowi and other reformers, such as Ahok, much harder. For 
Islamists, Jokowi is seen as a secular nationalist leader who doesn't represent 
their Islamic identity so they want to vote him out," Afrianty said.Before 
Friday's protest in Jakarta, Indonesian police said they had foiled a plot to 
use the protests to lead an uprising against Jokowi, Reuters reported. Police 
detained 10 people in the early hours of Friday, including politician 
Rachmawati Sukarnoputri, who is the sister of former president Megawati 
Sukarnoputri, as well as musician Ahmad Dhani and retired army general Kivlan 
Zen, Reuters said."The on-going political tension between religion and politics 
is distracting Jokowi from his main priorities, which is improving 
infrastructure and regulatory burden on investors," Ramage stated.The situation 
could hit the economy, too, at a time when investors have praised Indonesia as 
a standout opportunity among emerging markets."Indonesia is one of numerous 
competitive emerging markets competing for limited investment dollars, so this 
becomes one more thing that investors put in the negative column if they 
believe political stability is under threat," Ramage warned.—Follow CNBC 
International on Twitter and Facebook.
Nyshka ChandranReporter, CNBC Asia-Pacific

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