Teaser piece on Keith paper

http://www.thecrimson.com/article/2012/10/22/solar-geoengineering-climate-change/

Solar Geoengineering Holds Promise for Addressing Climate Change

By MELODY Y. GUAN, CONTRIBUTING WRITER
Published: Monday, October 22, 2012
Stopping or reversing climate change can be achieved with significantly
reduced side effects if solar radiation management efforts are optimized
for the different seasons and latitudes, according to a new study by a team
of researchers at Harvard University, the California Institute of
Technology, and the Carnegie Institution for Science.The study, which will
be published in the November issue of Nature Climate Change, examines how
tailoring radiative forcing, the change of the radiation balance of the
Earth, can improve the efficiency of geoengineering—the use of large-scale
interventions to moderate climate change. These interventions can range
from carbon dioxide removal to iron fertilization of the oceans.According
to study co-author and Applied Physics Professor David Keith, solar
engineering—putting aerosols in the stratosphere to reflect incoming
sunlight back into space—is “the most credible idea in the near future.”“In
principle there is an infinite number of dimensions you could twist. You
could control which season the radiative forcing is applied in,” said
Keith. “You could have a layer of aerosol that is denser in the summer.”The
study showed that the melting of sea ice could be stopped with two to three
times less radiative forcing if it is tuned specifically.“People have done
this crudely before, non-optimally, but this is first paper that tried to
explicitly tune this effect. What we’ve shown is that we can tune it a
lot,” Keith said.The technology for solar geoengineering already exists,
but countries must decide whether to implement it.“[Solar geoengineering]
is technically possible—whether that is a good thing to do or politically
realistic is another thing,” said Keith. The biggest concern regarding the
technology, he continued, is that people will cease trying to cut carbon
dioxide emissions.“The biggest risks are the unknown unknowns,” he
continued. “There are lots of examples in history when interventions like
this didn’t work out.”According to Keith, it is physically impossible to
stop or reverse warming in the article without geoengineering. Cutting
emissions can only reduce the future contributions to global
warming.Countries hesitate to take action, however, because the effects of
climate change are not uniform across the globe.Keith said he hopes that
there will be serious efforts by all countries to cut emissions and to
invest in geoengineering in an effort to help protect the natural world.
“We spend less than 1 percent of our GDP on agriculture so even if you
double the cost you’re hardly going to notice it,” he said.

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