Dear colleagues,

Johnathan Guy (ABD, Berkeley) and I are putting together a panel submission
for APSA incumbency and climate politics (see title and abstract below).
We'd love to hear from folks working on these topics, or if you have any
recommendations of who might be interested.

Please don't hesitate to reach out! Thank you very much for your time and
consideration.

Best,

Bill Kakenmaster
--


Panel title

Incumbency in the Politics of Climate Change: Governments, Firms,
Technologies

Abstract


Scholars of climate change often cite incumbency as a reason for inaction
or delay in reducing emissions and adapting to extreme weather (cf. Kungl
et al. 2024). Some view incumbents as motivated by the potential costs of
decarbonization. In rich industrialized democracies, incumbent firms in the
agricultural, energy, and transport sectors frequently lobby and campaign
against climate policy, using their considerable financial and technical
resources to do so (Brulle and Downie 2022; Mildenberger 2020). In
developing countries, firms in these sectors are often state-owned,
providing governments with important sources of revenue and patronage that
disincentivize climate mitigation (Laan and Maino 2021; Prag et al. 2018).
Yet why incumbents attempt to block such transitions in some cases but not
others remains unclear. Incumbent firms can alternatively use their
structural and instrumental power to secure compensation or mobilize their
greater access to capital, diversify business strategies and retain market
share (Vormedal and Meckling 2023, Green et al. 2021). Incumbent
governments could replace revenue from high-carbon industries with revenue
from low-carbon industries, support the creation of new sources of value in
emerging renewable energy industries through industrial policy investments,
or substitute high-carbon firms out of their support coalition. Theoretical
explanations relating to commitment problems and incomplete information
have been advanced (Acemoglu 2003, Gazmararian and Tingley 2023), but
evaluating the application of these theories in the context of the climate
transition requires understanding the relationship between the political
incentives and economic capabilities that incumbent actors have to reduce
carbon pollution and adapt to climate impacts. When do prospective climate
policies threaten the political power of incumbent firms? When do
governments value the endurance of incumbent firm power over new governing
arrangements? This panel addresses the above questions with a particular
focus on developing countries.


-- 
*Bill Kakenmaster*
PhD Candidate, University of Notre Dame
2060 Jenkins Nanovic Hall, Notre Dame, IN 46657
Email: wkake...@nd.edu

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