[Pakistan insists that the Nasrs are safe and are only for use against
India were the latter to implement its Cold Start Doctrine: a rapid
ingress of armoured forces into Pakistan, the destruction of a few
jihadi camps, and then a steep withdrawal back into India. But so high
is the risk associated with a potential leak of the Nasr, that
Washington has put pressure on India to talk to Pakistan about
Kashmir.

An India that was only willing to talk terror with Pakistan has within
the space of a couple of weeks turned turtle to not only talk Kashmir
but all aspects of the relationship. Oh, how the Pakistani military
must be gloating.]

http://blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/strategic-insights/the-little-nasr/

The big power of little Nasr

December 19, 2015, 4:20 PM IST

Sunil Sharan in Strategic Insights

India, World | TOI

Aah, you little beauty, you little Nasr, you have finally brought two
major powers to their knees, and that too without firing a single
shot.

Out there in the US, there is real consternation that this micro-mini
Pakistani tactical nuke will fall into the hands of jihadis who would
then use it against the American mainland. Washington has spent
hundreds of millions of dollars in securing Pakistan’s big, strategic
nukes but to the Nasr it has no answers. Why?

Because the Nasr is a javelin-like structure, deployed in the
battlefield against tanks, and under the operational command of a
brigadier. Think of how many brigadiers there are in Pakistan’s seven
hundred thousand-strong army— two hundred, three hundred, five
hundred— and that would be the number of tiny Nasrs floating about in
the battlefield.

Pakistani army is steeped in religion. Its soldiers are indoctrinated
as ghazis— warriors of the faith— against the infidel, Hindu India.
Its forces have time and again been caught with jihadi tendencies,
whether it is the PNS Mehran attack or the arrest of the radicalised
Brigadier Ali Khan. Its leadership has emphasized that its force is
free of jihadi strains but the world at large has remained
unconvinced.

A dirty bomb, small enough to smuggle in a suitcase, is America’s
worst nightmare. Until now it was assumed that that terrorists did not
have the wherewithal to put one together. But Pakistan has solved
their problem for them. All a jihadi officer has to do is smuggle the
little Nasr to a terrorist and there you have it, America’s worst
nightmare will come true.

On bended knees, America is imploring Pakistan to get rid of the
Nasrs. But Pakistan must have its pound of flesh. Washington is abuzz
with a civilian nuclear deal for the Pakistanis. The contours are
faint but it seems to involve access to nuclear technology, as well as
membership of the nuclear suppliers group, a facility not yet afforded
India.

***Pakistan insists that the Nasrs are safe and are only for use against
India were the latter to implement its Cold Start Doctrine: a rapid
ingress of armoured forces into Pakistan, the destruction of a few
jihadi camps, and then a steep withdrawal back into India. But so high
is the risk associated with a potential leak of the Nasr, that
Washington has put pressure on India to talk to Pakistan about
Kashmir.*** [Emphasis added.]

***An India that was only willing to talk terror with Pakistan has within
the space of a couple of weeks turned turtle to not only talk Kashmir
but all aspects of the relationship. Oh, how the Pakistani military
must be gloating.*** [Emphasis added.]

So the little Nasr has paid off in spades for Pakistan. It has almost
swung an energy deal for it, and brought India down to its knees in
discussing Kashmir. It is not for the first time that Pakistan has run
circles around India. In 1989, India backed the wrong horse in
Afghanistan and Pakistan was able to send scores of jehadis into
Kashmir. This time round too, India’s Afghan policy seems weak, with
Pakistan holding many an ace. The fiasco at Kargil needs no further
recounting.

What allows a much smaller nation like Pakistan to push India around?
Firstly, a career in the Pakistani armed forces is prized. The best
brains in Pakistan want to become a military officer. In return, the
state guarantees them cradle to grave welfare, making a military
career worth their while. In India though, army officers are treated
shabbily. Witness their humiliation over one rank one pension. The
Indian armed forces face a current lacuna of 10,000 officers. In a
million man force, that is one officer per 100 men. The quality of
officers who join, sad to say, are not in the strategic league of
their Pakistani counterparts.

Until such time that the Indian government realizes its follies, and
restores the sheen of the armed forces, developments like the little
Nasr will hem us in, both militarily, as well as diplomatically.


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Peace Is Doable

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