[The EC going against any, whatever, good sense, announced bypoll for three
Lok Sabha seats in Karnataka, with the coming Lok Sabha poll due in less
than six months.
Conceivably, with the hope to trigger a rift in the Cong.-JD(S) coalition
and thereby bringing down the morale of the Congress and boosting that of
the BJP, just on the eve of a few crucial state polls in the Indian
heartland to be soon followed by the general election.
In the event, it has badly backfired.

***The Bellary, the (presumed) bastion of the (illegal) mining barons - the
Reddy brothers, back in the BJP with a big noise, outcome has come as a
hard slap in the face of the BJP, led by the Modi-Shah duo.***

Not to forget, the report below is carried by a news portal which, usually,
operates as a Modi megaphone.

<<The Congress-Janata Dal (Secular) alliance in Karnataka received a huge
psychological boost ahead of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections by winning two
Lok Sabha and two Assembly seats for which by-elections were held on
Saturday.
Though the results in three Assembly seats were on expected lines and the
BJP managed to retain Shivamogga Lok Sabha seat, the crushing defeat the
party candidate suffered in the Ballari Lok Sabha constituency should send
alarm bells to the central BJP leadership.>>
(Excerppted from sl. no. I. below.)]

I/II.
https://www.firstpost.com/politics/karnataka-by-election-results-2018-ahead-of-2019-bjp-should-focus-on-alternative-strategies-to-replace-bsy-factor-in-state-5511991.html/amp?fbclid=IwAR1kSMa-l7kYanZxIa5UN82hujxH6OM_tO3TJwCa71n9lMSwmiFV4heCYbk#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s

Karnataka by election results 2018: Ahead of 2019, BJP should focus on
alternative strategies to replace BSY factor in state

Firstpost   • Nov 06, 2018 16:13 IST

By Ramakrishna Upadhya

The Congress-Janata Dal (Secular) alliance in Karnataka received a huge
psychological boost ahead of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections by winning two
Lok Sabha and two Assembly seats for which by-elections were held on
Saturday.

Though the results in three Assembly seats were on expected lines and the
BJP managed to retain Shivamogga Lok Sabha seat, the crushing defeat the
party candidate suffered in the Ballari Lok Sabha constituency should send
alarm bells to the central BJP leadership.

State BJP president BS Yeddyurappa’s son, BY Raghavendra won from
Shivamogga by a smaller margin of over 50,000 votes, defeating the alliance
candidate, JD(S)' Madhu Bangarappa. There was a neck-to-neck fight
initially, before Raghavendra pulled away after ten rounds.

File image of former chief minister BS Yeddyurappa. PTI

Yeddyurappa had won this seat by a margin of 3.30 lakh in 2014 when the
Congress and the JD(S) had fought the election separately.

The ruling JD(S) retained both the Ramanagara Assemly and Mandya Lok Sabha
Seats — in its Vokkaliga stronghold — by impressive margins, not only
because of the Congress' backing for the first time, but also for the
reason that BJP bungled with the selection of its candidates.

Chief minister HD Kumaraswamy's wife Anitha Kumaraswamy had a virtual
walkover as her BJP opponent L Chandrasekhar — who was an election-eve
import from the Congress — retired from contest and returned to Congress
just two days before the polling.

In a constituency which saw a low voter turnout of only 54 percent, Anitha
Kumaraswamy secured 1.25 lakh votes as against 15,000 votes for the ‘lotus
symbol’ in the absence of Chandrasekhar. Considering that the BJP had
polled only 4,000 votes last time, it was an improvement on their
performance.

In the Mandya Lok Sabha seat, LR Shivarame Gowda of the JD(S) won by a
margin of 2.89 lakh votes. BJP’s Siddaramaiah polled 2.05 lakh votes, which
is its best performance in the district.

The Jamkhandi Assembly seat went to Anand Nyamagouda of the Congress, who
was put up after his father, Siddu Naymagouda’s death in a road accident.
The sympathy factor pushed Anand’s margin to over 39,000 votes against
Srikanth Kulkarni of the BJP, who had lost to Siddu by around 2,000 votes
in May 2018.


The Ballari Lok Sabha seat reserved its biggest shock for the BJP as its
candidate J Shantha was trounced by VS Ugrappa of the Congress by a margin
of 2.87 lakh votes.

Shantha’s elder brother, Sriramulu had won this seat by over 1.3 lakh votes
in 2014 and had resigned six months ago after being elected to the Assembly
from Malkalmuru constituency. It was a prestige fight for him and ‘mining
baron’ Janardhana Reddy, who considered Ballari as their fiefdom not long
ago.

Janardhana Reddy has been expelled from the BJP after being indicted in the
mining scam, but he continues to identify himself with the party. Reddy
made some controversial remarks during the election campaign, sitting
outside Ballari as has been debarred by the Supreme Court from entering the
district till the cases filed against him are resolved.

Pleased at the outcome, Kumaraswamy said the JD(S) and the Congress would
carry their alliance to the coming Lok Sabha elections as well and
expressed confidence of winning "24 out of 28 seats," in the state.

Within hours of the results being declared, the Congress leaders began
competing with each other for taking credit for the ‘success.’ DK
Shivakumar, who was in charge of the election campaign in Ballari, declared
that “Ugrappa was his choice," and selecting someone from the Valmiki
community had paid rich dividends to the party.

Not to be left behind, former chief minister Siddaramaiah said he had
“predicted” the Congress victory from Ballari by a margin of over two lakh
votes and affirmed that the understanding with the JD(S) would continue
into the Lok Sabha elections.

As far as BJP is concerned, party president Amit Shah will be a worried man
as the by-elections have shown the ‘damage’ the Congress-JD(S) alliance can
do in the coming Lok Sabha polls.

He will also have to seriously ponder over lack of cohesion within the
state BJP and Yeddyurappa’s inability to take anyone together.

But, considering that the Parliament elections are not too far away and
there is no one of Yeddyurappa’s stature in Karnataka BJP to replace him
immediately, the central BJP will have to spend a lot of time working out
alternative strategies to improve the party’s prospects in the state.

II.
AA.
Election results

By elections, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
INC V.S Ugrappa 6,28,635
BJP J.Shantha 3,85,205
General Election, 2014: Bellary
Party Candidate Votes % ±
BJP B. Sreeramulu 5,34,406 51.09
INC N. Y. Hanumanthappa 4,49,262 42.95
JD(S) R. Ravinayaka 12,613 1.21
NOTA None of the above 11,320 1.08
Majority 85,144 8.14
Turnout 10,45,772 70.29

(Source: <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bellary_(Lok_Sabha_constituency)>.)

Forget about the alliance, the BJP vote has nosedived from 5,34,406 to
3,85,205.

BB.
General Election, 2014:Shimoga
Party Candidate Votes % ±
BJP B. S. Yeddyurappa 6,06,216 53.63 +3.05
INC Manjunath Bhandary 2,42,911 21.49 -23.55
JD(S) Geetha Shivarajkumar 2,40,636 21.29
AAP K. G. Sreedhar 7,542 0.67
BSP Kunaje Manjunatha Gowda 5,053 0.45 -0.41
NOTA None of the Above 7,077 0.63
Margin of victory 3,63,305 32.14 +26.60
Turnout 11,29,008 72.27 +5.81

(Source: <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shimoga_(Lok_Sabha_constituency)>.)

This time, the BJP has polled 5,43,306, as against JD9S)-Cong.: 4,91,158
votes.

(Source: <
https://vijaykarnataka.indiatimes.com/district/shivamogga/karnataka-by-elections-shimoga-lok-sabha-bypoll-results-2018-live-updates/articleshow/66521381.cms
>.)

So, the BJP is down from 6,06,216 53.63 to 5,43,306.

CC.
By Election, 2018: Mandya

Party Candidate Votes % ±
JD(S) L.R.SHIVARAMEGOWDA 5,69,320
BJP D.R.SIDDARAMAIHA 2,44,377
Majority 3,24,943
General Election, 2014: Mandya
Party Candidate Votes % ±
JD(S) C. S. Puttaraju 5,24,370 43.95
INC Ramya 5,18,852 43.49
BJP Prof. B. Shivalingaiah 86,993 7.29
BSP M. Krishnamurthy 22,391 1.88
KAP H. K. Krishna 8,604 0.72
NOTA None of the Above 6,021 0.50
Majority 5,518 0.46
Turnout 11,92,638 71.45

(Source: <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mandya_(Lok_Sabha_constituency)>.)

Here, BJP vote share has jumped, but, only to suffer a resounding defeat
even then.


-- 
Peace Is Doable

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