On Tue, 1 Sep 2009, Oliver Heering wrote:

> coming from data mining and machine learning i have the
> following question which may or may not sound stupid for you,
> but as i have no clue and there are no stupid questions (just
> stupid answers) i take my chance posting the question to this
> list:

Fine.

> I already figured out how to fit an ARIMA process to my data
> (ok, how to actually find GOOD AR/MA/difference orders would be
> another question). And i can save the resulting model as Icon to
> my session. Does that mean i can also apply my model to any
> other data (of the same type of course)? Let's say i fit my
> model against a timeseries range A. How can i find out how my
> model fits to another timeseries range B?
>
> Maybe this isn't possible at all and i am misunderstanding the
> whole concept of ARIMA models and -forecasting. I am primary
> working with the data mining tool "RapidMiner", which allows you
> to easily apply any learned model to new and unseen data
> (classification mainly, but regression as well) and i wonder if
> it is the same with an estimated ARIMA model.

In the gretl GUI, an existing model is in effect defined by an
estimation method (e.g. ARIMA).  On opening a saved model you can
use the menu item "/Edit/Modify model..." in the model window to
create a new, related model.  You can substitute a new dependent
variable, and/or edit the list of regressors, and/or tweak things
such as the lag order.

In a gretl script, there's no limit to the extent to which you can
use an existing model as the basis for a new one.  Just copy,
paste and edit.

> By the way, i appreciate that case markers can now be up to 15
> chars in length, but what are they actually used for? Of course
> i'd like to have them show up on my plots, which i currently do
> by manually tweaking the gnuplot commands, but i think this
> functionality is still missing in gretl, am i correct? So what's
> left? Is there any practical use-case for case markers in
> timeseries analysis?

With time-series data there's little or no use for case markers,
since the general assumption is that date strings should be used.
Case markers are most useful for cross-sectional data where
otherwise the observations would be anonymous.

Allin Cottrell

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