-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE----- Hash: SHA1 Thanks for the heads up Mark. It is definitely good to start watching these things as soon as possible and planning the response. Below is a link to Jeff Masters most recent blog post about the typhoon; Jeff is an expert on hurricanes/typhoons and his analysis pre-Haiyan was what allowed us to focus on Tacloban before the storm even hit. The second link is to the Wunderground tracking page for the storm itself showing lots of useful info, and the third link is to the 'Wundermap' with the tropical storm layer turned on.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2871 http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/western-pacific/2014/Super-Typhoon-Hagupit http://wxug.us/1m0l5 According to his reading of the situation, as well as the results of the various model runs it is looking like it will be a catergory 4 or 5 when it hits the Philippines (Haiyan was a cat 5 at landfall). There are some positive signs though: wind shear is expected to pick up which will weaken the storm and the waters are not as warm as when Haiyan struck; both positive signs. For us I think the most relevant part of the blog is the following: "There is less heat energy available in the ocean for Hagupit, and wind shear is expected to rise to the high range on Friday as strong upper-level winds tear at the storm. Heavy rains, not high winds and storm storm surge, will likely be the greatest threat for the Philippines from Hagupit." Heavy rains means flooding, and it means landslides. The Phillipines is a mountainous region so landslides are a possibility on slopes, especially where farming/deforestation have happened. I would say at this point, making sure the major waterways are traced in OSM would be the highest priority until we know more accurately where it will make landfall. This will likely be an event that we end up activating for. We should start figuring out who will lead the activation and start making contact with our humanitarian contacts regarding their likely response. Since Pierre and I are still on the ebola activation it probably doesn't make sense for us to lead this one, but we can certainly offer help/guidance to anyone interested in stepping up to lead the HOT response. Fortunately we mapped a lot of the potentially affected area during Haiyan, but this one looks to be swinging more to the north than that one did. That is good, since the map is pretty good in the north, but bad because the reason the map is better is that is where most of the population is. This is another opportunity to help out. Let's get to it, and show the world what we can do. :) - -AndrewBuck On 12/03/2014 06:36 PM, Mark Cupitt wrote: > Dear All > > This 280kph Super Typhoon is headed to the Phillippines. Expected > to hit at the end of weekend north of Tacloban where Haiyan Hit. It > is approximately the same intensity as Haiyan. This one is going to > hurt > > [image: Inline image 1] > > Regards > > Mark Cupitt -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- Version: GnuPG v1 iQIcBAEBAgAGBQJUf75dAAoJEK7RwIfxHSXbGeEP/3NIY9nzgOSd7dKs21ftA2Cp pENfVJ9f8rT8ChK4vFZbaS0pQtCbNpOW+QvvTDBDsMIXts24ef58ieNFST0y4jGW Xk//qmol3rNG0d9MoU15Q4IOzIZuIuAQ0K0W2yyApXi8j3zUec81gSvbo1sukEl9 ZX87/wO53bzAfd0lYBqALmeZkyzJnxPpJLlbcg6wSehpNbLypCWJt3dYT6TmtNPZ bhyZ0+zFjhnYyFI38+VqiBLA+zZdeRCic1vsR6PRXxR1XN2np1thncMSZdSaMGku VJnnOOq9oGCM9I+9KEsDSpaiHS9a1g840yd5VSWNWwCdvEU90ET/DQWjZYWSn34E HJTwNduyaQa/nRk39NeInloJ0aiHGlYRG1wVrhRS5aO0IjBhLEt2KD7qjykpc0AI b/0YRK2OgSpX9LzMZbWon+HKstv5oJOadY/uLUCBTpDpOqoHLeqmk7H0IACWfDva D4LqxbQ13IIBVTCsKbOwG8sdvi88hbQCS9jBfxM4Q6gjOsn9V9CkAWFoWsrZQRKn p7UrWpXRAuwH+VlPesnsqfSn3IgnI/c2K6orPaHKU+fR71Z1oMzEAIkygwBgMMS5 Sc6zmLsYJj0/KmPcO0OiLNbP6pEhHforP40JSPiIPo6sDBdgKE7sx7b7ZpUbrTCJ 3NplRrf4ZefkRRs5N6Jd =PVfO -----END PGP SIGNATURE----- _______________________________________________ HOT mailing list HOT@openstreetmap.org https://lists.openstreetmap.org/listinfo/hot
