australia katanya sudah siap untuk bantu pasok uranium untuk indonesia dan
agreement sudah dibuat tahun 2006. Jadi masalah dengan cadangan uranium kita
yang hanya 10 tahun sudah terjawab dong ya, tapi industri strategis seperti
ini kalo sangat tergantung dengan negara lain bisa gawat juga ya?

Asia is increasingly going
nuclear<http://www.gulfnews.com/opinion/columns/world/10137620.html>
Gulf News - Dubai,United Arab Emirates

Asia is increasingly going nuclear

By Abdullah Al Madani, Special to Gulf News
Published: July 08, 2007, 00:23

In his recent survey, Professor Purnendra Jain, head of Asian Studies at
Australia's Adelaide University, holds that many Asian countries are
currently competing for nuclear status in a way not seen since the 1970s. He
supports his conclusion by reports suggesting that 17 of the 28 nuclear
power plants under construction around the world are in Asia.

This is true. In addition to Asia's two giants, India and China, which are
enhancing their nuclear-power generation capabilities, almost all other
Asian states are either on the way to going nuclear or expressing their
intention to have civilian nuclear programmes.

Vietnam, for example, has already decided to install two nuclear reactors in
the coming decade. Thailand is said to be conducting research for nuclear
power with the apparent aim of having a plant operational by 2020.
Malaysiahas hinted that it might consider the nuclear-energy option in
the near
future. The South Korean government has already announced its decision to
increase the number of nuclear power plants in the country. And Japan, the
world's third largest home to such plants after the United States and France,
seems to be ready to increase its dependency on power generation from
nuclear sources from the current 30 per cent to 40 per cent in the next 10
years.

The Japanese, however, are very careful in this regard, something that can
be attributed to their fear of nuclear accidents similar to the one in their
Tokaimura plant in 1999.

On the other hand, the Hong Kong authorities are under immense pressure to
go nuclear by establishing their own nuclear power plants or benefiting from
those across the border in mainland China.

This is aimed at improving the island's rapidly deteriorating air quality,
caused by its long reliance on fossil fuel for electricity on the one hand
and industrial pollution from mainland China on the other. As Professor Jain
correctly puts it, Hong Kong may lose its business to other Asian countries
if this environmental problem is not quickly dealt with.

*Enough uranium available*

Focusing on the reasons behind this new nuclear race in the Far East, one
can list numerous driving factors, including the rapidly growing demand for
power due to economic and industrial expansion and the improvement of living
standards; high oil prices in recent years; rising competition for natural
resources; the danger of over-reliance on imported oil and gas for energy
needs from the troubled Middle East; and pressure to use more
environmentally-friendly energy.

Moreover, there is now enough uranium available to commence nuclear
programmes and, unlike fossil fuel, it is cheap. According to a report
published in 2005 by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and
Development, production of uranium recorded significant increases between
2003 and 2005 with 19 countries mining it, particularly Australia,
Kazakhstan and Namibia.

The aforementioned justifications for going nuclear, however, have been met
with severe criticism and opposition from various local organisations and
political forces, despite the increasing support for cleaner and greener
power-generation options. Their argument often concentrates on the high
costs and risks associated with nuclear power, citing the disastrous
consequences of the 1979 accident at Three Mile Island in the US and the
1986 Chernobyl explosion in the former Soviet Union. It also concentrates on
the difficulty of ensuring that nuclear technology once obtained will not be
used for purposes other than civilian.

Perhaps the case of Indonesia is the best example of the ongoing debate
between pro and anti-nuclear option forces in Asia.

Having received a nod from the International Atomic Energy Agency for its
civilian nuclear programmes, Indonesia is planning to start building its
first nuclear power plant by 2010 and four other such plants by 2017 with
the aim of producing at least 17 per cent of the country's power demand from
untraditional sources. It is reported that South Korea has already agreed to
help Indonesia build these plants and provide fissile material and
technology. It is also reported that Australia, the holder of 40 per cent of
world uranium deposits and the second-largest supplier of this commodity
after Canada, has expressed its readiness to cooperate with Indonesia in
this field under the 2006 bilateral security agreement.

While Jakarta maintains that its going nuclear policy is significantly
important to ensure a steady supply power for more than 220 million people,
overcome power-generation crises in the country's most populous island of
Java, meet the potential threat of inadequate supplies of coal and natural
gas, and protect the environment from harmful pollution caused by the
massive use of fossil fuels, many individuals and groups including
legislators hold a different opinion.

They argue that nuclear power plants are expensive and that they will be
funded at the expense of money allocated for promoting education, health and
housing. They also argue that Indonesia's knowledge base in the nuclear
field is extremely low. Their main concern, however, is about the risks
associated with nuclear power such as radioactive waste, leak or accident,
especially with fundamental Muslim groups targeting vital civilian
installations and the country being prone to natural disasters including
earthquakes and floods.

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