>>>Actually, Karen, I think the report that was shown in that post was from 
>>>last year - I know I saw it last summer.  We are definitely on the mend 
>>>in the drought situation but our ground water levels are still not where 
>>>they should be.


Yes, but the ground water levels in the southeast are increasing, as are the 
reservoir levels.  And, ground water levels don't have so much to do (at 
least not immediately) with the price of hay since very little of the hay 
grown in the southeast is irrigated, and that was the point of this video. 
Hay grown in the southeast is largely watered by rain.  There are MANY other 
factors much more immediately affecting hay pricing, prices of horses at 
auction, etc. - things that we CAN talk about, and even take action on. 
It's much more productive to me to inform people that the closing of meat 
plants now means no guaranteed minimum on that horse or foal that they could 
previously and conveniently dump at auction, while totally denying to 
themselves that horse would be slaughtered.   And we can actually educate 
ourselves on the REAL costs involved in the government subsidized production 
of ethanol.   Most people would rather wring their hands helplessly over 
some vague "drought" than deal with unpleasant realities like these though.


>>> There are some things we are just not going to be able to take for 
>>> granted any more but we'll adjust just like our ancestors have and there 
>>> will always be "the sky is falling" people out there.


That's just it, the "sky is falling" folks make conditions worse by their 
dire, and often unfounded, speculations.  In our area, and probably across 
the country, e-mails are flying this year predicting more hay shortages, 
increased hay prices, etc. and that's just not founded in fact - not yet 
anyway.  A lot of these e-mails seem to originate from people with no 
long-standing backgrounds in farming, not people like me who realize rainy 
years and drought years have ALWAYS cycled.   If buyers believe that, and 
horde hay, guess what?  It increases demand, and that reduces supply 
artificially.  Do you think hay farmers will voluntarily lower hay prices if 
they can get more?  I don't think so, and I don't blame them.


Karen Thomas, NC

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