You are assuming that the truth value of statements can be decided by an 
impartial, technically-competent observer. In some of the recent discussions, 
many of the claims were "X is (not) going to do Y in the future" or "Using X 
may cause Y do to something". Unless the observer has a crystal ball, such 
statements are hard to evaluate objectively. In that case, predictions made by 
a larger number of (reasonably-informed) individuals may well have more weight, 
under the not-unreasonable assumption that conventional wisdom is often right.

Henning

On Feb 17, 2012, at 2:14 PM, Pete Resnick wrote:

> On 2/17/12 11:59 AM, Noel Chiappa wrote:
>>     >  From: Pete Resnick<presn...@qualcomm.com>
>> 
>>     >  We do need to make sure that the folks evaluating consensus know
>>     >  that "voting doesn't count" and that their decisions are made by
>>     >  consensus on the technical issues, not the number of people speaking.
>> 
>> Yes, but how do you tell where the consensus is if 97% of the people in the
>> 'room' haven't expressed an opinion?
> 
> Condensing part of my unfinished essay to a few sentences: You decide 
> consensus based on open issues, not on number of voices. If folks have 
> brought up unanswered objections, there's not consensus yet (rough or 
> otherwise). If all objections have been answered (even if the answer is 
> simply a well-reasoned, "We understand that that is an issue, but for these 
> other reasons, we're not solving that problem", and there is not significant 
> objection to dismissing the issue), then the presumption is that there is at 
> least rough consensus.
> 
> If the 97% haven't expressed an opinion, you presume that they are not filing 
> objections and are therefore consenting. Consensus is all about consent, not 
> expressed agreement. Objection is the only way for there not to be consensus.
> 
>> The 'me too' posts do serve a purpose in
>> giving a larger sample size (provided, of course, that they are from 
>> long-time
>> IETF partipants).
>>   
> 
> Not to me. I don't see what they add.
> 
> pr
> 
> -- 
> Pete Resnick<http://www.qualcomm.com/~presnick/>
> Qualcomm Incorporated - Direct phone: (858)651-4478, Fax: (858)651-1102
> 
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