I read the articles at <http://www.eetimes.com/news/98/1012news/ibm.html> and
<http://www.research.ibm.com/journal/rd/401/ogorman.html> with interest.

>Their research showed that you should expect one error per month, caused
>by cosmic rays, per 256MB RAM.

But that was in 1996. Chip densities have increased considerably since then.

Each new generation of memory chips packs 4X as many transitors/capacitors
into the same area as the previous generation.

What are current memory chip densities?

If we estimate 1 to 2 new generations, could we then be looking at 4 to 16
errors per month per 256Mb?

>Even at 1GB RAM, cosmic rays would only account for one crash
per week at most.

with 1Gb of memory and today's densities could we be looking at 4 to 16
crashes per week?

What about people at higher elevations?


Yours
Uncle George

p.s. It does seem that newer computers and OS's are less stable. My old
Color Classic is like a rock. Maybe one crash every three years, if even
that. Katie Munker's mum had a Color Classic with not a single crash in the
three years she had it.(until a moving man dropped it from a rather high
height. Then it really did crash...literally!)

On the other hand newer computers and OS's are called on to do more.





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