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New Straits Times Press (NSTP), Sept 21 1999

Australian Government Under Attack For Misjudging ETimor
Backlash

SYDNEY, Sept 21 (AFP) - The Australian government is facing
mounting criticism at home over its failure to anticipate the
bloody backlash that followed East Timor's August 30 self-rule
ballot.

Australian National University (ANU) professor of strategic
studies Des Ball, one of the country's leading defence analysts,
Tuesday added his voice with a strong attack on the intelligence
service.

Ball said the intelligence gathering establishment had become
too politicised to be objective about East Timor.

He charged that political considerations were part and parcel of
the country's intelligence community, and the problem had been
getting worse since the late 1980s.

Ball said ministers inevitably chose the intelligence
assessments they liked best and that influenced the way reports
were presented.

"I think one of the unfortunate features of security policy
making in this country in the last several years is that it has
become very politicised," Ball told ABC radio.

"We have a system in which there are very capable bureaucratic
political players, very capable managers.

"But we don't have much ability for intelligence assessment,
national assessments, and for translating those assessments into
government policy," he said.

His comments came amid mounting criticism of Prime Minister John
Howard's government for not pressing the United Nations and
Indonesia to approve a peacekeeping force ahead of the ballot
after persuading President B. J. Habibie to hold it.

Opposition foreign affairs spokesman Laurie Brereton was one of
a number of political figures and East Timorese campaigners who
had warned for months that a bloodbath was inevitable and a
peacekeeping force would be needed to avert it.

Brereton accused the government on Monday of forcing
intelligence agencies to "radically revise" their assessments
about East Timor and the Indonesian military to conform with a
more optimistic outlook for the territory.

Brereton asked Foreign Minister Alexander Downer on Monday how
the government viewed comments in May by Indonesia's military
commander in East Timor that "everything was going to be
destroyed" if there was a vote for independence.

Downer repeated Canberra's view that the violence had always
been predicted but he, like everyone else, had underestimated
the extent of the violence after the ballot.

Downer said conflicting intelligence reports were to be expected
in Australia's information gathering agencies, the Office of
National Assessments and the Defence Intelligence Organisation.

Armed with leaked documentation, Brereton also drew attention to
two successive assessments by the Defence Intelligence
Organisation, one on March 4 saying the Indonesian military was
protecting and working with the militia.

The other, two months later, said the military was controlling
militia action.

He said that between the two assessments Howard had naively
declared that there had been "a quantum shift in the Indonesian
government's control of the military in East Timor."

Former army officer Bob Lowry, a former military attache at the
Australian embassy in Jakarta, also backed Brereton's criticism
in damning evidence given to a senate committee.

He said that if the government had attempted to mobilise a
quarter of the international pressure on Indonesia before August
30 that it was able to organise afterwards it was likely "we
wouldn't be facing what we're facing now" in East Timor.

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Didistribusikan tgl. 23 Sep 1999 jam 11:58:42 GMT+1
oleh: Indonesia Daily News Online <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
http://www.Indo-News.com/
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