On Sat, 20 Oct 2012 11:44:27 +0200, Casper Bang <[email protected]>
wrote:
According to statowl.com, 66% of computers have a JVM installed. Let's
say
that 50% of those are actually being used, not just dormant/idle installs
there due to OS bundling or shoehorning. Last but not least, let's assume
that 10% are there to truly power a desktop application, not just to
support mandatory national SSO solutions etc. That lands us down around
3%.
The "scientific approach" would be your *assumption* of 10%, right? :-)
Why not 15%? Or 5%? Or 20%? Which is the scientific calculus that leads to
this value? 3% might reasonably qualify as nobody, but if the number is
10% or more, it wouldn't.
My agenda is not to uplift Java on the desktop, which, outside of the
industry, I agree is a minority usage (*); the relevant technology for the
masses is HTML. I'd just like to have people to back their assertions with
some solid argument, but it seems that there's no alternative to vagueness
and personal assumptions.
On the other hand, I can't make numbers too. Of course, lawyers and other
professionals could be less than 3% and your number can't be proved false
by them. Still, if you completely drop Java from the desktop it seems that
we have a few whole segments of people (outside the industry) that can't
do a relevant part of their jobs.
--
Fabrizio Giudici - Java Architect @ Tidalwave s.a.s.
"We make Java work. Everywhere."
http://tidalwave.it/fabrizio/blog - [email protected]
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