MUMBAI: RBI may hold rates steady at a scheduled policy review on Oct.
24 but may cut rates again in the near-term to shore up growth
prospects, Deve
lopment Bank of Singapore (DBS) said in a research note.

The next rate cut, after a surprise 100 basis point reduction in the
repo rate on Monday, may come at least a few weeks later, if oil
prices continued to tumble and growth in major economies slowed
sharply, DBS said on Tuesday.

"That elections are around the corner, also tilts the balance towards
a dovish policy stance," it said in a morning note.

"...the next rate move might come at least a few weeks later." The
central bank may cut rates by 50 basis points in the fourth quarter of
2008 and another 50 basis points in the first quarter of 2009, DBS
predicts.

For a factbox on the various liquidity measures taken by policymakers
until now. On Monday, the central bank unexpectedly slashed its key
lending rate for the first time in more than four years in a fresh
attempt to shield the economy from the global financial crisis.

Another rate cut, days after Monday's surprise move, may send a wrong
signal to the markets, DBS said. "It may be interpreted as a sign of
some greater trouble, probably with the nation's banks or corporate
sector and thus hurt confidence," it added.


Source : Economic Times


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