SINGAPORE: Pakistan is in informal discussions with the International
Monetary Fund and other bodies over a $10-$15 billion package designed
to stabilize its economy and avoid a balance of payments crisis, the
Financial Times reported on Tuesday.

A little over half the total would come in the form of an IMF loan and
the balance would be provided by the World Bank, the Asian Development
Bank and bilateral donors, potentially including Saudi Arabia, the
report said.

Pakistan is also seeking funds from China, it said.

The scale of support under consideration reflects international
anxiety that Pakistan, considered a vital country in the "war on
terror," is at risk of being destabilized by the global financial
crisis.

On Monday, a senior Pakistani government official said the country was
considering an IMF loan that would disburse funds over the next two
years to bolster investor confidence shaken in part by falling foreign
currency reserves, the newspaper said.

"We are basically seeking help for around seven quarters including the
one which began this month," the Financial Times quoted the official
as saying.

The Wall Street Journal quoted an official in Pakistan's Finance
Ministry as saying that the government was looking for $4 billion to
avoid defaulting on its debt.

"We are hopeful that Pakistan will get approval soon, with the country
receiving $1.5 billion in one go and the rest in five equal
installments of $500 million," the official said on Monday.

A senior IMF official told Reuters on Monday ahead of talks on
Pakistan's restructuring plan that the country's seven-month-old
civilian government should consider an emergency support package from
the IMF.

He said Pakistan has not made a formal request to the IMF for
emergency funds but that options were running out.

"Market borrowing is not an option, not in the current markets,"
Mohsin Khan, director of the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia
department said in an interview.

Pakistan is rapidly losing foreign currency reserves. Analysts say
Islamabad needs up to $3 billion to $4 billion urgently to stabilize
the economy, although the total financing gap for the balance of
payments was projected at around $7 billion for the fiscal year ending
June 30, 2009.

Pakistan would be required to accept an IMF program as a condition for
multilateral financial support, the FT report said.

International officials indicated the IMF would not impose extensive
new conditions, but would essentially bless the reform program
prepared by Pakistan's economic team. However, the IMF would require
changes in monetary policy, the report said.

Shaukat Tarin, the top economic adviser to the prime minister, has
proposed cutting the budget deficit from over 7 per cent of gross
domestic product to a range of 4 to 4.5 per cent.

Pakistan's government has already slashed domestic subsidies on fuel
and plans to stop borrowing from its central bank. It had intended to
raise foreign exchange by selling stakes in two banks and a gas
project, but these plans have been jeopardized by the financial
crisis.


N.Sukumar
Research Analyst
www.kences1.blogspot.com
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