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 Caucasus Oil Politics. Sudan Politics

>Subject: Caucasus Oil. Sudan today
>
>War in the Caucasus
>The Politics of Oil
>
>In the early years of the 20th century, oil from the Russian Caucusus
>accounted for nearly half of all oil produced in the world. The oil
>district of Grozny was, next to Baku, the most important Russian oil
>area before the revolution and by 1915 accounted for about 18 per
>cent of Russian oil production.
>
>by Kenny Coyle
>
>More than half the investment in [pre-Revolutionary] Russian oil came
>from abroad. Before World War I, total investment in the Russian oil
>industry was US$214 million, US$130 million of which represented
>foreign capital. Great Britain was particularly active in Russia,
>providing more than 60 per cent of the foreign capital.
>
>In the Soviet Union, Grozny oil was at one time quite
>important, accounting for one-third of national production in 1932.
>In the post-Soviet era the importance of Grozny oil for the
>Russian economy has diminished greatly but its importance as a
>regional producer has increased.
>
>Over the years, Grozny became a key oil pipeline crossroads, an oil
>refining centre and also a juncture for natural gas from fields in
>Russia and Central Asia.
>
>The vast oil fields of Central Asia, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and in
>the North Caucasus of Russia have always been a target for invasion.
>It was to secure unimpeded access to these riches, as much as for the
>symbolic associations with the city's name, that Hitler threw
>division after division at Stalingrad in World War II.
>
>The break-up of the Soviet Union has released these
>enormous resources that had been denied to Western
>transnational corporations for decades. This is an enormous boon for
>Western imperialism.
>
>Prising open the oil fields grouped beneath and around the Caspian
>Sea has been a key strategic target of the US in the past decade.
>
>BP Amoco, Texaco, Mobil, Chevron and other US and foreign companies
>have already spent over a billion dollars on developing the Caspian
>oil resources.
>
>They are drawing on a whole spectrum of Cold War foreign
>policy figures from the US and Britain to cash in on the region.
>
>Zbigniew Brzezinski, former National Security Adviser under President
>Carter and a key figure in securing initial US support for the Afghan
>mujahidin, is a consultant to Amoco.
>
>James Baker, a former US Secretary of State, runs a law practice in
>Houston doing business for the oil companies, where he is able to use
>his friendship with his former Soviet counterpart
>Edward Shevardnadze, now President of Georgia.
>
>Former US National Security Adviser, Brent Scowcroft,
>advises Pennzoil and the multinational Azerbaijan consortium.
>
>Dick Cheney, President Bush's Secretary of Defence, is now
>chief executive of Halliburton of Houston, the world's largest
>oilfield services company.
>
>Azerbaijan is also a favourite destination for the British
>oil companies such as Monument and Ramco. Timothy Eggar, who
>as British Energy Minister led a delegation to Baku in 1994, is
>now chief executive of Monument Oil, while former Foreign
>Minister Malcolm Rifkind sits on the board of Ramco.
>
>In October 1997, "Le Monde Diplomatique" wrote: "The negotiation of
>oil contracts enabled Washington to show a direct interest in the
>region. The US Government sees it as an extra source of energy,
>should Persian Gulf oil be threatened.
>
>"It also wants to detach the former Soviet republics from Russia both
>economically and politically, so as to make the formation of a
>Moscow-led union impossible.
>
>"In an article published in the spring, former [US] Defence Secretary
>Caspar Weinberger wrote that if Moscow succeeded in dominating the
>Caspian, it would achieve a greater victory than the expansion of
>NATO would be for the West."
>
>US policy therefore has both a tactical economic aspect and a longer-
>term strategy to further weaken Russia.
>
>The most crucial question for oil supply though is the route chosen
>for delivery. Unlike the Persian Gulf, none of the oil producing
>states of the Caucasus offer the possibility of shipment to the West
>by tanker, since the Caspian Sea is essentially a huge inland lake.
>
>The alternative is the construction of a super pipeline from Central
>Asia to either the Mediterranean or the Persian Gulf.
>
>The Russians put together a Caspian Pipeline Consortium to run
>a pipeline from the Tengiz fields of Kazakhstan across Russia to the
>port of Novorossisk on the Black Sea and to link this with a pipeline
>extending northwest from Baku.
>
>However, to do this the pipeline from Baku would have to run through
>either Chechnya, or neighbouring Dagestan, itself the target of
>several Chechen mujahidin incursions in August 1999.
>
>The US Government, however, insisted from the outset that
>the pipeline, expected to carry one million barrels per day, run
>from the Azerbaijani capital, Baku, to Turkey's Mediterranean port
>of Ceyhan.
>
>Washington's aim is to ensure that oil supplies are free from Russian
>and Iranian influence.
>
>The Istanbul Protocol [an agreement to build the Baku-
>Ceyhan pipeline], signed late last year during the OSCE conference
>in the Turkish city, is a significant victory for the plans of the US
>and Turkey.
>
>"The New York Times" of November 19, 1999, bluntly described it as
>"one of President Clinton's cherished foreign policy projects, a
>pipeline that would assure Western control over the potentially vast
>oil and natural gas reserves".
>
>US Secretary of Energy, Bill Richardson, enthused: "This is a major
>foreign policy victory. It is a strategic agreement that advances
>America's national interest."
>
>Inevitably, many Russians believe that destabilisation in
>the Caucasus represents a Western plot to monopolise energy
>resources in the region. While this has a certain simplistic aspect
>to it, ignoring as it does the other complex factors, it
>nonetheless expresses a certain truth.
>
>The expansion of Western imperialist influence eastward demands the
>further break-up of Russia and the wresting of her rich energy
>resources from her grasp, piece by piece.
>
>      by     "Morning Star"
>
>                      *********************
>
>The situation in the Sudan
>
>         A statement by the Sudanese Communist Party
>
>In 1998, after 10 years of the rule of the National Islamic
>Front (NIF) and its military wing within the Sudanese Army, the
>elderly politicians of the ruling party, including the ideologue of
>the regime, Dr Hassan al-Turabi, reached the conclusion that
>the Sudanese Islamic movement represented by the NIF and its
>allies had failed markedly to realise its "Islamic Civilisation
>Project" and to become a model for the Islamic world.
>
>It had also clearly failed to implement its salvation mission
>to reform the moral, political, economic life in Sudan and to resolve
>the civil war and thereby cement national unity as promised in the
>first statement of the Salvation Military Council after the coup in
>June, 1989.
>
>As a consequence, they were forced to retreat, while
>still manoeuvring hard to preserve the maximum amount possible of
>their political power, credibility and wealth.
>
>They opted in the course of that year for a quasi-democracy,
>and engineered an "Islamic constitution" that listed
>fundamental freedoms subject to the conditions and restrictions of
>the relevant laws.
>
>This means, for example, that freedom of association is restricted by
>the Political Parties Act and the Trade Union Act, which ex-
>communicated the political parties and the trade unions incorporated
>under the umbrella of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
>
>Similarly, freedom of the press is restricted by the Press
>and Publication Act.
>
>Nevertheless, these limited freedoms opened the door for
>the opposition to activate inside the country and for the press
>to criticise the wide-spread corruption in public tenders, in
>state sector privatisation projects, in imports of spoiled foods
>and drugs.
>
>The press and opposition were also able to criticise the financial
>and administrative corruption of senior officials in central and
>state governments, state authorities' intimidation of traditional
>businessmen in favour of NIF parasitic capital and also to expose the
>government policies that led to the collapse of education and health
>services and the unprecedented spread of redundancy and unemployment.
>
>The press also covered the news of the protest actions of workers,
>teachers, tenants and students inside the country and the activities
>of the opposition especially the NDA abroad.
>
>The "Islamic" demagoguery and taboos of the regime were exposed and
>people openly made fun of them. The fanatics and hawks of the regime
>were provoked as well as scared by this political turmoil.
>
>They grouped themselves behind General Omar al-Bashir in his power
>rivalry with Dr Hassan al-Turabi and pushed the General to advocate
>their views and become their official voice.
>
>Last year, to avoid unconditional defeat, the regime attempted
>a counter attack to contain internal political developments
>and prevent them from exploding into a popular uprising.
>
>It embarked on an offensive to isolate the NDA, split its unity and
>weaken its forces.
>
>In aspiring to gain new ground both internally, regionally
>and internationally, the regime is hoping to strengthen its grip
>over the Sudan and to have strong cards in any coming negotiation
>with the SPLA [Sudan People's Liberation Army] and the NDA.
>
>It is in this context, that in May, 1999, Turabi met in Geneva with
>Sayed al-Sadiq al-Mahdi, former Prime Minister, president of the Umma
>party and one of the prominent leaders of the opposition.
>
>This activity served to focus regional and international attention on
>the political situation in Sudan and the possible peaceful and global
>solution to its problems.
>
>A number of foreign players entered actively the political game in
>the Sudan. Each is motivated by its own interests.
>
>The government of the Sudan has been campaigning throughout
>the western countries to demonstrate that political reform is
>afoot and a new era of democracy has begun.
>
>It is also busy reassuring the West that the Sudanese Government has
>been adopting a neo-liberal market economy and implementing IMF
>prescriptions to the letter.
>
>Last June the IMF confirmed this fact and praised the
>Sudanese Government.
>
>The regime is cynically exploiting the post-cold war
>economic competition between the USA and the European
>Community, especially the tug of war between the USA and France in
>Africa, to release itself from the international isolation it has
>been in since its crackdown on the professional community in the
>Sudan after the doctors' strike in November, 1989.
>
>It is also successfully playing the card of oil exploration and the
>privatisation of state assets.
>
>Now countries like France, Germany, Britain, Norway, the Netherlands
>and Italy are hurrying to normalise their relations with the Sudanese
>Government, leaving behind all their moral rhetoric about human
>rights, democracy and international terrorism.
>
>There are reports that the regime is also offering the
>US administration a strategic alliance so that the Sudan can be
>the springboard for US strategic plans to control the present
>and future sources of oil and mineral production in Africa and
>the Red Sea. The anti-US public statements of the regime
>are addressed to Africa, the Arab world and for local consumption.
>
>Regionally, the Sudanese regime tried to exploit the consequences of
>the armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea, and between Uganda
>and Democratic Congo in an attempt to isolate the NDA and the SPLA
>and deny them the support of the neighbouring countries.
>
>The Sudanese Government even asked the latter to extradite Sudanese
>opposition leaders living there in exile, but in vain.
>
>In the Arab world, the regime in Sudan is playing a dangerous game
>and harming Sudan's national interests by projecting the problems of
>the country as an ethnic and religious conflict, as rivalry between
>Arab and African stocks and between Islam and Christianity. In this
>way the regime hopes to gain the support of Moslems and Arab
>nationalists.
>
>Unfortunately, this game is facilitated and heated by the
>Western media, Christian fundamentalist institutions and the quarters
>of Islamic fundamentalism. We believe that the problems of the
>Sudan have to be solved globally and once and for all.
>
>The conflict in the Sudan is triggered and sustained by political,
>civil, economic, social, cultural and regional injustices as well as
>denial of equality based on citizenship and the concentration of
>political power and wealth in the hands of the elite of central
>Sudan.
>
>We have to learn from South Africa's experiences in building national
>unity and national consensus and the smooth transition to multi-
>racial, multi-cultural and multi-religious democracy and civil
>society.
>
>We must hold a Constitutional Conference of Sudanese political forces
>to dismantle the present totalitarian regime and to get rid of all
>forms of injustice and inequality in our political systems since
>independence.
>
>The present regime in the Sudan is not transformable and
>the appropriate solution is to dismantle it altogether. All
>genuine selfless foreign initiatives have to co-ordinate their
>efforts so that Sudanese political forces can reach this goal." JC
>
>


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