Hi.  Cutting back to one message per day is harder than I thought.
I have to think everybody has much of the information I might have sent
and is interested in essays which assume the same thing, and that
people will do something about it all.  I have three such, including this
one.
But UPJ does not have major presence in LA and many of us have real
problems with the two coalitions that do.  Nonetheless, Bennis' essay has
great merit and there's always the hope that a UPJ force will assemble here.
Tarik Ali's Iraq informative, cogent analysis adds a lot, brilliantly as
usual.

About the information.  Unless I forget, I include my sources and how you
can subscribe to them at the bottom of these emails.  They're invaluable and
indispensable for any reasonable view of today's world.  I strongly suggest
you subscribe to Portside and Rad Green. The biggie is NY Transfer, but
only if you're prepared for 20 or more articles per day - I've now
transfered to
their daily digest - one menu at midnight.  I'll list some contacts
tomorrow.
Ed

The U.S. Peace & Justice Movement Facing 2005
by Phyllis Bennis
Institute for Policy Studies

"Widen political deficits into large gaps"

[Distributed to the United for Peace Justice (UFPJ)
milaing list.  <http://www.unitedforpeace.org/>

In the piece below Phyllis Bennis identifies key
developments making the war and occupation more
difficult for the U.S. to fight. She argues that these
developments create openings for the peace movement to
reach and expand its support among specific
constituencies, and that our job is to widen those
fissures into large gaps. These notes were the basis
for a talk she gave at UFPJ’s Steering Committee
meeting in New York City on December 18, 2004.
- Hany Khalil http://www.unitedforpeace.org/]

===

The U.S. Peace & Justice Movement Facing 2005
by Phyllis Bennis
Institute for Policy Studies

Movement responsibilities: we continue to make Iraq the
centerpiece of our broader campaign for peace and
justice because the Iraq war is now the centerpiece of
U.S. policy and its drive towards empire.

Our job in the peace & justice movement is to identify
and be prepared to exacerbate the pressures that are
making the war and occupation more difficult for the
U.S. to fight. Then we must work to expose and/or
strengthen those factors.

* Certainly the single most important component of
things undermining the US war is the Iraqi resistance.
We recognize the RIGHT of the Iraqi people to resist as
a point of principle, even if we do not endorse
specific resistance organizations or tactics.  But we
don't have the information or the ties to influence the
resistance. And further, we should not call for
"supporting the resistance" because we don't know who
most of them are and what they really stand for, and
because of those we do know, we mostly don't support
their social program beyond opposition to the
occupation.

* Do we support Iraqi elections?  Our position is based
on principle: We support the idea of elections, but not
THIS election: elections held under occupation,
elections designed to put in place a U.S. puppet
government and to legitimize an illegitimate
occupation, cannot be legitimate elections. Regardless
of whether there is some support in Iraq for these
elections, our job is in the U.S., and we need to
expose the U.S. goals for these elections, and work to
delegitimize them.

* U.S. military strategy:  Conditions in Iraq are
worsening; the U.S. is clearly committed to trying to
wipe out the resistance before the January 30th
elections; that means continuing escalation of U.S.
military attacks.  This escalation will not likely look
like what we've seen over the last few months, with the
large-scale assaults on Fallujah and elsewhere.  It
will likely not take the form of huge, escalated
attacks in one place that can grab the world's
attention.  Rather, it will likely take the shape of
smaller attacks in different places.

We must identify deficits in U.S. war policy, and
especially the fissures within sectors of support for
the war. Our job is to widen those fissures into large
gaps.

The military personnel deficit:

Rising casualties among U.S. military means that morale
is sinking, recruitment & retention are more difficult.
Huge percentage of U.S. military forces are now tied up
in Iraq. Growing anger regarding poor preparation,
inadequate equipment, insufficient capacity among
troops. A 70 year old dentist was recently called back
to military service. Huge reliance on Guard and
reserves. Militarily, the Pentagon is seriously
understaffed. Our work: counter-recruitment and GI
organizing and undermine stop loss. We're not a nation
at war -- this was a war of choice. Need to rebuild GI
and GI coffeehouse movement (coffeehouses in Vietnam
antiwar movement-just off the military bases were
storefronts where you could get coffee, hang out, and
military lawyers would provide draft counseling, became
kind of protection, they would leaflet with do you know
you have rights).  So far most military people, even
those questioning Pentagon policy about the military
itself but not yet questioning the legitimacy of the
war, don't see the peace and justice movement as a
force that can provide protection they need. We have to
work to undermine the Pentagon's ability to keep people
in the military, how they talk to family when they go
home. It's long-term, but we could see significant
results quickly.

Key constituencies: military families, veterans'
organizations, counter-recruitment activists.

Financial deficit:

The costs of war are mounting. Going back to Congress
with $100 billion request when the reality of problems
in how the money is spent is on front pages creates a
huge problem for the White House. U.S. corporations
close to the Bush administration are increasingly seen
as getting the bulk of the money. The U.N. is
criticizing U.S. diversion of Iraqi oil funds to pay
U.S. contractors (Halliburton, Bechtel, others) while
ignoring the needs of Iraqi contractors and workers
(and failing to actually reconstruct anything). The
lack of reconstruction, the insufficient personal
protection for U.S. soldiers, the impact on other
government programs and the huge overall deficit as a
result of the high spending on Iraq war, are all
important in challenging the appropriation of more
funds.

Implication: Should focus on pressuring congress
against the appropriations bill [likely to come up in
February].  Work should be locally-based, but create
joint materials to show existence of national movement
speaking with one voice. Look at how money being spent.
Note how Rumsfeld was vulnerable-money didn't go to
armoring humvees to protect GIs, only to more and
better bombs to kill Iraqis.

Key constituencies:  Congress, anti-corporate
organizations, broad American people, especially with
new polls indicating Bush's approval rates down,
disapproval of the war up (57%).

Deficit in protection and real support for U.S. troops:

Administration more and more vulnerable as military
community speaks out.  Issues include lack of
protective gear, stop-loss laws, forcible returning to
service of veterans leading to "back-door draft," long
deployments for reservists and national guard, high
percentages of mental & emotional disorders in
returning vets, lack of sufficient veteran health care.
To maximize, we need to keep organizations like
Military Families Speak Out, the new Iraq Veterans
Against the War, and others at center stage of our
mobilizations. But also need to provide concrete
support to those organizations, particularly with help
in funding and staff to bolster their work.

We should note that U.S. concern about human costs in
the war has not yet focused on the huge numbers of
Iraqi civilian casualties, despite the short-lived
flurry around the 100,000 estimate of the Johns Hopkins
study published in the British medical journal The
Lancet.  [See section on "moral deficit" below for more
on this issue.]

Political and Credibility deficit:

So far we are not seeing much effort from the Democrats
in undermining the Bush policies, don't know if we can
have much effect on them yet. But within the Republican
Party, there's a growing division: Some right-wing
Republicans are saying they have lost confidence in
Rumsfeld, a few (including some neo-cons like William
Kristol) are even calling for Rumsfeld to be fired.
Rumsfeld has become the key personification of the war;
Bush can't get rid of him because would admit that war
itself has become a liability.  (So far one of the only
right-wingers to come out in clear defense of Rumsfeld
has been Richard Perle, arch neo-con and former
Pentagon adviser, who has been virtually silent since
corporate-related scandals forced him out of Rumsfeld's
Defense Policy Board earlier this year.)  May be
different with changing public opinion (even without
the Democrats).  December 21 Washington Post poll
indicates 56% think Rumsfeld should be fired, 49%
disapprove of Bush as president, 57% disapprove of the
war in Iraq, 70% believe the level of U.S. casualties
in Iraq is unacceptable, and 56% believe the war was
not worth fighting. We need to figure out how to
strengthen this popular opposition, perhaps linking it
with growing elite and particularly right-wing
opposition.

Key constituencies: Democrats, who so far have failed
to raise serious critique, and peace movement sectors
with ties to Democrats.

The international deficit:

Appointment of Condoleezza Rice to replace Powell means
end of popular illusions (in Europe and Middle East in
particular) that Bush administration has separate
views, that there is a rational semi-multilateralist
voice within the administration. Clarifies reality of
unified unilateralist thrust of U.S. policy.

Key constituencies: global peace movement, European and
other governments, UN.

Moral deficit:

Lack of concern in Pentagon over GI's especially being
killed.  Rising casualties among Iraqi civilians
ignored by Pentagon, but demonstrates fallacy of
"Iraqis better off today" argument. Likelihood that
elections will be widely seen as illegitimate because
of occupation-linked violence making it impossible for
large numbers of people to vote. Challenge of raising
issue of Iraqi civilian casualties, both direct
casualties of occupation forces, and those that are
occupation-related (when civilians are attacked by
resistance, in most cases -though not all - seems to be
targeting civilians viewed as collaborating with the
occupation).

Key constituencies:  We need sharper strategy for
reaching faith-based communities, particularly
mainstream churches (peace churches are with us but
need to broaden campaigns).  Many mainstream churches
have taken positions, but aren't mobilizing their base.
How about coordinating national day for local
coalitions of religious leaders to do simultaneous
preaching on same weekend?

The democracy deficit:

Destruction of civil liberties in U.S. under increasing
scrutiny, undermines claims to be fighting "for
democracy" in Iraq.

Key constituences: civil liberties, immigrant rights,
people of color organizations.

What does our movement need for this work?

* Internationalism: serious networking, engagement and
intersection with global peace movement.

* Linkage with Israel/Palestine question: crucial issue
of dual occupations; peace movement has accomplished
important initial educational and mobilization work in
normalizing the issue within the broader peace and
justice movement, but needs to do more to make links.

* Organizing strategies: beyond giant national actions,
we must figure out ways of exacerbating the
deficits/challenges facing U.S. strategy, and educating
on those rising costs and deficits. March 19th
mobilization will be key.

* Grassroots media and training -- we can look at the
model of the U.S. Campaign to End Israeli Occupation in
organizing regional training sessions in five-six state
regions. Provides basic skills training in media,
outreach/education and advocacy, but simultaneously
mobilizes and energizes movement activists still
paralyzed with post-election depression.

* Speaking tours probably good idea -- but have to be
linked with outreach and media strategies, not just
educational.  Our national movement, centered in UFPJ,
needs to play the role of linking local and regional
organizing efforts into a national peace movement able
to speak with one voice, one message.

portside (the left side in nautical parlance) is a news,
discussion and debate service of the Committees of
Correspondence for Democracy and Socialism. It aims to
provide varied material of interest to people on the
left.

To subscribe: http://lists.portside.org/mailman/listinfo/portside

***

http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,1407210,00.html

The Guardian   Monday February 7, 2005

Out with the old, in with the new

The Iraqi elections were designed not to preserve the unity of Iraq but to
re-establish the unity of the west

By Tariq Ali

The US, unlike the empires of old Europe, has always preferred to exercise
its hegemony indirectly. It has relied on local relays - uniformed despots,
corrupt oligarchs, pliant politicians, obedient monarchs - rather than
lengthy occupations. It was only when rebellions from below threatened to
disrupt this order that the marines were dispatched and wars fought.

During the cold war, money was supplied indiscriminately to all
anti-communist forces (including the current leadership of al-Qaida); the
21st-century recipients are more carefully targeted. The aim is slowly to
replace the traditional elites in the old satrapies with a new breed of
neo-liberal politicians who have been trained and educated in the US. This
is the primary function of the US money allocated to "democracy promotion".
Loyalty can be purchased from politicians, parties and trades unions. And
the result, it is hoped, is to create a new layer of janissary politicians
who serve Washington.

This most recent variant of "democracy promotion" has now been applied
in Afghanistan and Iraq, and it will hit Haiti (another occupied country) in
November. Create a new elite, give it funds and weaponry to build a new
army and let them make the country safe for the corporations.

The 2004 Afghan elections, even according to some pro-US commentators,
were a farce, and the much vaunted 73% turnout was a fraud. In Iraq, the
western media were celebrating a 60% turnout within minutes of the polls
closing, despite the fact that Iraq lacks a complete register of voters,
let alone a network of computerised polling stations. The official figure,
when it comes, is likely to be revised downwards (according to Debka, a
pro-US Israeli website, turnout was closer to 40%).

The "high" turnout was widely interpreted as a rejection of the Iraqi
resistance. But was it? Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani's many followers
voted to please him, but if he is unable to deliver peace and an end to the
occupation, they too might defect.

The only force in Iraq the occupiers can rely on are the Kurdish tribes. The
Kurdish 36th command battalion fought alongside the US in Falluja, but the
tribal chiefs want some form of independence, and some oil. If Turkey, loyal
Nato ally and EU aspirant, vetoes any such possibility, then the Kurds too
might accept money from elsewhere. The battle for Iraq is far from over. It
has merely entered a new stage.

Despite strong disagreements on boycotting the elections, the majority of
Iraqis will not willingly hand over their oil or their country to the west.
Politicians who try to force this through will lose all support and become
totally dependent on the foreign armies in their country.

The popular resistance will continue. Many in the west find it increasingly
difficult to support this resistance. The arguments for and against it are
old ones. In 1885, the English socialist William Morris celebrated the
defeat of General Gordon by the Mahdi: "Khartoum fallen - into the hands of
the people it belongs to". Morris argued that the duty of English
internationalists was to support all those being oppressed by the British
empire despite disagreements with nationalism or fanaticism.

The triumphalist chorus of the western media reflects a single fact: the
Iraqi elections were designed not so much to preserve the unity of Iraq but
to re-establish the unity of the west. After Bush's re-election the French
and Germans were looking for a bridge back to Washington. Will their
citizens accept the propaganda that sees the illegitimate election (the
Carter Centre, which monitors elections worldwide, refused to send
observers) as justifying the occupation?

The occupation involved a military and economic invasion as envisaged by
Hayek, the father of neo-liberalism, who pioneered the notion of lightning
air strikes against Iran in 1979 and Argentina in 1982. The re-colonisation
of Iraq would have greatly pleased him. Politicians masking their true aims
with weasel words about "humanity" would have irritated him.

What of the media, the propaganda pillar of the new order? In Control Room,
a Canadian documentary on al-Jazeera, one of the more disgusting images
is that of embedded western journalists whooping with joy at the capture of
Baghdad. The coverage of "elections" in Afghanistan and Iraq has been little
more than empty spin. This symbiosis of neo-liberal politics and a
neo-liberal media helps reinforce the collective memory loss from which the
west suffers today.

Carl Schmitt, a theorist of the Third Reich, developed the view that
politics is encompassed by the essential categories of "friend" and "enemy".
After the second world war, Schmitt's writings were adapted to the needs of
the US and are now the bedrock of neocon thinking. The message is
straightforward: if your country does not serve our needs it is an enemy
state. It will be occupied, its leaders removed and pliant satraps placed on
the throne.

But when troops withdraw, satrapies often crumble. Occupation, rebellion,
withdrawal, occupation, self-emancipation is a pattern in world history.

At the Nuremberg trials, Ribbentrop, the German foreign minister, was
charged for providing the justification for Hitler's pre-emptive strike
against Norway. Colin Powell, Condoleezza Rice, Jack Straw in a dock of
the future? Unlikely, but desirable.

• Tariq Ali's latest book is Bush in Babylon: the Recolonisation of Iraq

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