http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/20070821_the_real_iraq_progress_report/

The Real Iraq Progress Report

By Robert Scheer
Truthdig: August 21, 2007

The parade of political tourists to Iraq in recent weeks, during which
easily impressed pundits and members of Congress came to be dazzled by the
wonders of the troop surge, probably ensures that this murderous adventure
will continue well into the next presidency-even if the Democrats win.

For example, Kenneth Pollack, a top national security adviser in the Clinton
administration whose 2002 book, "The Threatening Storm: The Case for
Invading Iraq," convinced many Democratic politicians to support the war,
now finds renewed optimism after the surge. In a July 30 New York Times
Op-Ed article, "A War We Just Might Win," which he coauthored after spending
eight days in Iraq, Pollack gushed, "We traveled to the northern cities of
Tal Afar and Mosul. This is an ethnically rich area, with large numbers of
Sunni Arabs, Kurds and Turkmen. American troop levels in both cities now
number only in the hundreds because the Iraqis have stepped up to the plate.
Reliable police officers man the checkpoints in the cities, while Iraqi army
troops cover the countryside."

So much so that a town 40 miles northeast of Tal Afar was the scene, on Aug.
15, of the deadliest attack of the war-a quadruple bombing left more than
500 dead and 1500 wounded, and most of the buildings in ruin. What about
those "reliable" police officers and Iraqi army troops whose presence in the
area Pollack found so reassuring? If Pollack was asked about that on any of
the talk shows that routinely feature him as an expert, I have not found the
footage.

Other Democrats brought to Iraq for photo-op visits have similarly descended
into total myopia. Take Rep. Jerry McNerney, D-Calif., who is suddenly more
upbeat about the future U.S. role in the region: "If anything, I'm more
willing to find a way forward," he enthused. Rep. Tim Mahoney, D-Fla.,
proclaimed that the U.S. troop surge "has really made a difference and
really has gotten al-Qaida on their heels." Odd, then, that al-Qaida was
blamed by the United States for that deadly attack near Tal Afar.

In the past week, two Iraqi governors have been assassinated in incidents
attributed to intra-Shiite violence that is dramatically on the rise. But
not even this bloodshed stops yet another Democratic lawmaker, Brian Baird,
D-Wash., from proclaiming that he will no longer support measures to set a
deadline for troop withdrawal, because "We are making real and tangible
progress on the ground."

Contrast the rosy optimism of those day tourists with the assessment of
seven active-duty soldiers coming to the end of their 15-month tour of duty
on the ground in Iraq. They had an Op-Ed piece in the Aug. 19 New York Times
entitled "The War as We Saw It":

"To believe that Americans, with an occupying force that long ago outlived
its reluctant welcome, can win over a recalcitrant local population and win
this counterinsurgency is far-fetched. As responsible infantrymen and
noncommissioned officers with the 82nd Airborne Division soon heading back
home, we are skeptical of recent press reports portraying the conflict as
increasingly manageable and feel it has neglected the mounting civil,
political and social unrest we see every day."

Get their article-excerpted quoting cannot do it justice-and hand it to
anyone who prattles on about how "our" leaving Iraq will only make matters
worse. "Four years into our occupation, we have failed on every promise,
while we have substituted Baath Party tyranny with a tyranny of Islamist,
militia and criminal violence," they wrote. "In the end, we need to
recognize that our presence may have released Iraqis from the grip of a
tyrant, but that it has also robbed them of their self-respect. They will
soon realize that the best way to retain dignity is to call us what we
are-an army of occupation-and force our withdrawal."

In the meantime, the seven soldiers urge that we let "Iraqis take center
stage in all matters" and "let them resolve their differences as they see
fit. This suggestion is not meant to be defeatist, but rather to highlight
our pursuit of incompatible policies to absurd ends without recognizing the
incongruities." The plea ends with "We need not talk about morale. As
committed soldiers, we will see this mission through."

And sadly enough, they will continue to be sacrificed to a policy that makes
no sense to them as well as to most other Americans. As their Op-Ed piece
recounts, "one of us, Staff Sergeant [Jeremy A.] Murphy, an Army Ranger and
reconnaissance team leader, was shot in the head during a 'time sensitive
target acquisition mission,' on Aug. 12; he is expected to survive." But
what about the next good man sacrificed to the whims of politicians and
pundits?

***

Date: Tue, 7 Aug 2007 14:52:06 -0400
From: All the News That Doesn't Fit <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: [NYTr] Shia power causing resentment in parts of Arab world

sent by Simon McGuinness

[Promoting a sectarian war within Islam has all the hallmarks of
imperialist manipulation: motive, means, opportunity.  It looks
increasingly like John "Death Squad" Negropointe is the prince of
darkness behind this plan, aided and abetted by devil incarnate, Dick
Cheney.  The sale of huge quantities of weaponry to Iran's neighbours is
certainly not designed to avoid war.  Perhaps the outline of a Plan B
for Iraq is beginning to emerge - a regional conflagration which will
lay waste to vast tracts of the Middle East and leave the USA,
potentially, to inherit the oil.  The sectarian warfare that the US
media paints in Iraq (as opposed to legitimate insurgency against an
illegal invader) could quite easily be manufactured by Negropointe and
his henchmen with a few bombs here and a few bombs there.  The US
failure to prevent sectarian warfare could, like Britain's equally
spurious efforts in northern Ireland in the 1970s and 1980s actually be
hiding the running of death squads on both sides intent on fermenting
the most outrage by inflicting the most heinous crimes against the other
community.   Remember 5 years ago Iraqis didn't even know which side of
the sectarian divide their next-door neighbours stood on - it was of no
importance.  Now, thanks to the USA, it is a matter of life and death.
Clearly a case of "Let's You and Him Fight". - SMcG.]

The Irish Times _ Aug 67, 2006
http://www.ireland.com/newspaper/world/2007/0807/1186424805606.html


Shia power causing resentment in parts of Arab world

Middle East: The Sunni-Shia fault line across the Islamic world is
ancient, but today it is being deepened deliberately and dangerously.

by Mary Fitzgerald , Foreign Affairs Correspondent.

The people of Mu'tah were accustomed to seeing bands of Shia pilgrims
tramping through the dusty streets of their town in the scrubby desert
of southern Jordan. The nearby tomb of the Prophet Muhammad's cousin,
Ja'far Al-Tayyar, slain there during a battle with Byzantine forces in
the early days of Islam, is an important Shia shrine, drawing thousands
of pilgrims every year for the holy day of Ashura.

They would come from neighbouring Iraq, Lebanon, the Gulf, Iran, and
even as far away as south Asia. Then Iraq was invaded and everything
changed. After Saddam Hussein was hanged, the dwindling number of
pilgrims dropped even further. "This year you could count them on one
hand," says the caretaker.

"There are big tensions now because of Iraq. People are angry because of
what happened to Saddam and maybe the Shia are afraid to come here as a
result."

Shia Iraqi exiles living in predominantly Sunni Jordan tell a different
story. They tell of security guards preventing Shia from observing
rituals and chanting at the shrine, warning them of deportation if they
do.

They tell of border officials asking if they are Sunni or Shia on
arrival. They point out increasingly shrill newspaper articles, like the
one in the pro-government daily Ad-Dustour warning of a conspiracy to
spread Shiism from India to Egypt. Or mosques where clerics rail against
alleged Shia perfidy and worshippers are handed pamphlets purporting to
tell "everything you need to know about the Shia".

Rumours abound of Shia proselytising and plans to build a mega-mosque
for Shia, funded with Iranian money, on a prime piece of land in Amman.

It's not just confined to Jordan, strained as the tiny kingdom is with
almost one million Iraqi emigres. The empowerment of Iraq's Shia has
bred resentment in many quarters of the Arab world, making Sunni regimes
jittery and more fearful of their own beleaguered Shia populations.

Iran's rising influence is also a huge factor. As tensions escalate
between Tehran and Washington, concerns about Iran's intentions in the
region have taken on a distinctly sectarian hue, with Sunni clerics and
US-allied governments fanning animosities rooted in centuries of
theological, political and ethnic rivalry.

Three years ago Jordan's King Abdullah warned of the emergence of a
"Shia crescent" across the region. In a television interview last year
Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak was blunt, saying: "Most of the Shia
are loyal to Iran, and not to the countries they are living in."

Earlier this year King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia denounced what he called
Shia proselytising and attempts "to diminish [ the Sunnis'] historical
power".

The Sunni-Shia fault line is not new. Beginning with a 7th century
dispute over who was entitled to succeed the Prophet Muhammad as head of
the nascent Islamic empire, the resulting schism fed into another rift -
now at the heart of the region's powerplay - between ethnically Persian
Iran, which became Shia, and the Arab swathe of the Middle East, which
became predominantly Sunni.

An article written earlier this year by the editor-in-chief of Al-
Ahram, Egypt's leading pro-government newspaper, is typical of the
rhetoric sweeping predominantly Sunni states. "Iran is active in
spreading Shiism even in the countries which don't have a Shia minority
. . . to revive the dreams of the Safavid," wrote Osama Saraya,
referring to the Persian dynasty which ruled Iran for more than two
centuries and enshrined Shiism as the state religion.

"Is this about Shiism or Iran, or a mix of the two? It's not quite
clear, and often the two are conflated in this upsurge of sectarian
feeling," says Joost Hiltermann, Middle East director of the
International Crisis Group.

Iraq's vicious sectarian war, along with rising Sunni-Shia tensions in
Lebanon and to a lesser degree in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, have made
Muslims elsewhere more conscious than ever before of their own sectarian
identity, says Vali Nasr, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign
Relations and author of The Shia Revival: How Conflicts Within Islam
Will Shape the Future.

This is borne out in a recent Pew survey, which found that majorities in
seven countries, including Pakistan, Egypt, Lebanon, Kuwait and
Tanzania, believe Sunni-Shia tensions are a growing problem for the
Muslim world, and are not limited to Iraq. Near majorities in four other
countries, including Turkey, agreed.

Where this heightened sense of sectarian identity may lead is grounds
for much concern, with some fearing that the Iraq war could spill into a
wider Sunni-Shia conflagration.

Washington's increasing bullishness towards Iran is another worry. "The
danger is that the US is now coming in the middle of all this and
encouraging it as a way of forming an alliance against Iran," says Vali
Nasr, echoing suspicions raised by Shia clerics and Mahdi Akef, leader
of the Muslim Brotherhood, the world's most influential Sunni political
movement.

The problem with this strategy is that it leaves the US with some
unlikely bedfellows - extremist Sunni jihadists whose loathing of the
West is often surpassed only by their hatred for Shia, whom they
consider heretics.

Last January a Kuwaiti cleric influential in jihadist circles ranked
Iran ahead of the US and Israel in a hierarchy of villains, decrying the
"Safawi enemy that seeks the destruction of Islamic civilisation". The
month before, a senior cleric in Saudi Arabia pronounced Shia "more
dangerous than Jews and Christians".

Manipulating sectarian tensions is a dangerous game, says Diaa Rashwan,
an analyst at the Al-Ahram Centre for Political and Strategic Studies in
Cairo.

"Some regimes have allowed people to talk and write about the Shia like
this, some have even encouraged it, but sectarianism is not something
you can easily control. It taps into feelings that can turn very
primitive and encourages fanatics on both sides. To encourage it is to
play with fire."

C 2007 The Irish Times





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