On Jan 11, 2012, at 9:53 AM, Rob Seaman wrote:

> Warner Losh wrote:
> 
>> Tom Van Baak wrote:
>> 
>>> Although on average LOD is more than 86400 s by a few milliseconds, in the 
>>> past fifty years about 3% of the days have been shorter than 86400 s. In 
>>> the past decade alone the figure is 14% (the earth has sped up quite a bit 
>>> the past decade). You can imagine then that some days must be rather close 
>>> to no error.
>>> 
>>> Five days were within 1 microsecond and the record goes to November 29, 
>>> 2004 which was just 200 nanoseconds shy of a perfect 86400 second day.
>> 
>> How much better would be if we'd adapted a mean solar second of 1900 instead 
>> of 1820 which we wound up with?
> 
> See Steve's plot:
> 
>       http://ucolick.org/~sla/leapsecs/lod.pdf
> 
> or the top plot of http://ucolick.org/~sla/leapsecs/amsci.html, zoomed to 
> recent decades.
> 
> The Earth would be deemed fast by about 4 ms / days  (five millionths of a 
> percent if I've got the decimal right).
> 
> What is "better" or "perfect" here is a matter of debate.

For the purposes of my question "better" means "lower rate of leap second 
introduction for the next few decades"

Warner


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