Damn...I will keep this under my hat.
----- Original Message ----- From: "Tim Greenwood" <[email protected]> To: [email protected] Cc: "Andy Kneale" <[email protected]>, [email protected] Sent: Tuesday, September 29, 2009 10:10:45 AM GMT -05:00 US/Canada Eastern Subject: Re: [LU] Was Carlisle tonight-now statistical probablity You are wrong. The scenarios are completely different. If you buy 1,000 lottery tickets (all with different numbers) then you are 1,000 times more probable to win that with one. Still a pretty small chance. Pedant for Andy. You have to say "If you toss a KNOWN FAIR coin 50 times and it lands on heads every time, it is no more likely to land on tails the next time - it will still be the same odds." If I watched someone flip a coin 50 times coming heads every time then the odds are that it is a double headed coin. Tim On Tue, Sep 29, 2009 at 10:03 AM, < [email protected] > wrote: Is this also true for winning the lottery? That is if you play 1 ticket or 1000 tickets the odds of winning do not change? I tried to convince someone of this but they weren't having it. Am I wrong? Nick ----- Original Message ----- From: "Andy Kneale" < [email protected] > To: [email protected] Sent: Tuesday, September 29, 2009 9:09:08 AM GMT -05:00 US/Canada Eastern Subject: Re: [LU] Carlisle tongiht > Well the longer any winning streak goes on, the more likely it is to come to > an end (Is it called the Law of >Probabilities clever types?) Pedant head on - incorrect, Timbo! If you toss a coin 50 times and it lands on heads every time, it is no more likely to land on tails the next time - it will still be the same odds. Gaffer :P _______________________________________________ the Leeds List is an unmoderated mailing list and the list administrators accept no liability for the personal views and opinions of contributors. Leedslist mailing list [email protected] http://list.zetnet.co.uk/mailman/listinfo/leedslist http://www.worldnet.org.uk WorldNET2009
