Check out the latest on Solar from MIT.  Like you, I think solar is the way
to go.  While we are at it...stick some uber solar panels in the Lagrangian
point and use it to power earth and the moonbase...ah...sigh!



http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2008/oxygen-0731.html

On Tue, Nov 25, 2008 at 9:54 AM, Clogtowner <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

>
> Hi y'all - I'm sure this article helps to sell newspapers. We are in a
> business cycle that will eventually recover. Admittedly, its severity
> is unusual, but it had to happen as we've been printing money and
> borrowing without collateral for years. Of course we are not the only
> ones, and to tie this in to your other Keynsian post, we are not yet
> ready for a world bank. Had we been on the gold standard most of this
> would have been avoided.
> In my recent travels, I've been astonished at how fast the wind
> turbine industry is growing. Solar panels are harder to spot, but I'm
> sure they are there too. People want instant results and that won't
> happen, but scaremongering sells papers and creates awareness.
> Man has an infinite capacity to adapt and invent - there is nothing
> new under the sun. I have confidence in my fellow man (as long as they
> are not religious!)
>
> On Nov 25, 9:37 am, ornamentalmind <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > The current dialectic being touted appears to be:
> > Healthy Planet vs. Healthy Economy
> >
> > My guess is that without the former, there will be no life left to
> > enjoy the latter. While both are important, the conservation instinct
> > seems to have to come first when it comes to prioritization. What do
> > you think?
> >
> > ornamentalmind
> >
> > From the New York Times:
> >
> > November 25, 2008
> > Economic Slump May Limit Moves on Clean Energy
> > By ELISABETH ROSENTHAL
> > Just as the world seemed poised to combat global warming more
> > aggressively, the economic slump and plunging prices of coal and oil
> > are upending plans to wean businesses and consumers from fossil fuel.
> > From Italy to China, the threat to jobs, profits and government tax
> > revenues posed by the financial crisis has cast doubt on commitments
> > to cap emissions or phase out polluting factories.
> > Automakers, especially Detroit's Big Three, face collapsing sales,
> > threatening their plans to invest heavily in more fuel-efficient cars.
> > And with gas prices now around $2 a gallon in the United States,
> > struggling consumers may be less inclined than they once were to trade
> > in their gas-guzzling models in any case.
> > President-elect Barack Obama and the European Union have vowed to
> > stick to commitments to cap emissions of carbon dioxide and invest in
> > new green technologies, arguing that government action could stimulate
> > the economy and create new jobs in producing sustainable energy.
> > But as the United Nations prepares to gather the world's environment
> > ministers in Poznan, Poland, next week to try to agree on a new treaty
> > to reduce emissions, both the political will and the economic
> > underpinnings for a much more assertive strategy appear shakier than
> > they did even a few weeks ago.
> > "Yes things have changed," said Yvo de Boer, executive secretary of
> > the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, in a phone
> > interview. He is organizing the meeting in Poland.
> > "European industry is saying we can't deal with financial crisis and
> > reduce emissions at the same time," he said. "Heads of government have
> > other things on their minds."
> > The economic decline also could complicate the political calculus of
> > limiting emissions in developing countries, especially China.
> > China overtook the United States as the largest producer of greenhouse
> > gases in 2007. But the surge in heavy industry there that produced a
> > sharp increase in its emissions already has given signs of turning
> > into a bust.
> > Some experts argue that China's emissions — and the pressing need to
> > limit them — may recede until economic conditions improve.
> > No government has officially repudiated climate goals; in Bali last
> > year, all the nations of the world promised to pursue an emissions
> > control treaty. Mr. de Boer said he remained optimistic that major
> > powers would ultimately stick to pledges to reduce emissions.
> > "I don't think anyone will show the stupidity to focus on the short
> > term and ignore the long-term issue because these decisions will be
> > with us for 30 years," he said.
> > Even so, there are signs of considerable backpedaling in at least near-
> > term commitments to invest in green technology and alternative
> > energy.
> > Italy's environment minister, Stefania Prestigiacomo, said last month
> > that "profound changes" were needed in the European Union climate
> > package because of the global economic crisis. Coal-based economies
> > like Poland's have expressed similar worries.
> > Theolia, one of France's largest alternative energy companies, has
> > canceled plans for a subsidiary devoted to emerging markets, and
> > pulled back on its goals of how much energy it could produce by 2009.
> > In the United States, T. Boone Pickens, the Oklahoma oil tycoon who
> > leased hundreds of thousands of acres in West Texas for a giant wind
> > farm, has now delayed the project. He told reporters at a recent news
> > conference that fossil fuel prices would have to rise again before it
> > was economically viable.
> > Barbara Helfferich, the European Commission spokeswoman on the
> > environment, said, "Investing in reducing emission is more difficult
> > to do in times of economic downturn than when you have money to
> > spend."
> > Mr. Obama, Mr. de Boer and Stavros Dimas, the European Union
> > environment commissioner, all argue that by promoting new green jobs,
> > even with heavy government subsidies, they could create an engine of
> > economic growth that would help countries pull themselves out of the
> > recession.
> > Mr. Obama, without releasing specifics of his proposed economic
> > stimulus package, called on the country to build "wind farms and solar
> > panels, fuel-efficient cars and the alternative energy technologies
> > that can free us from our dependence on foreign oil and keep our
> > economy competitive in the years ahead."
> > The European Commission says it is planning to stay its course toward
> > lower emissions — a 20-percent reduction by 2020 — and in so doing
> > hopes to have a "first mover advantage" in terms of job creation,
> > renewable sources and energy innovation once the global economy
> > rebounds.
> > "I know it sounds counterintuitive, but our argument is that because
> > there is an economic turndown, it is just the time to tackle the
> > transition from a high-carbon to a low-carbon economy," Ms. Helfferich
> > said.
> > Recessions can be good or bad for achieving environmental goals, and
> > it remains uncertain how this one will play out.
> > In the short term, economic declines tend to reduce emissions, because
> > industrial production slows down. Retrenchment will certainly curb
> > fast-growing emissions from China, for example, where double-digit
> > economic growth has been based partly on production from the most
> > polluting industries, such as steel, cement and aluminum. But such
> > reductions are inevitably temporary, rebounding when the economy picks
> > up.
> > Against this, the current economic slump could have serious long-term
> > environmental consequences, because it may reduce investment in
> > greener production technologies without fundamentally changing the
> > longer-term emissions picture. With so many renewable energy projects
> > and programs in their nascent stages, their success is easily undercut
> > by lack of credit or financing.
> > Centrica, a British company that has been building wind farms to meet
> > its target of having 15 percent of that country's energy come from
> > renewable sources by 2020, has put three planned offshore wind farms
> > on hold, in part because of rising credit costs. Without projects like
> > these it is unclear if Britain's ambitious emissions reductions target
> > can be met.
> > At the same time, the price of buying permits to emit carbon dioxide
> > in Europe — a system the European Union uses to discourage companies
> > from polluting — have fallen by half compared with the price a year
> > ago, largely because of slower growth.
> > Wind costs more than $2.5 billion per gigawatt to build, compared with
> > $600 million for gas. Carbon permits and subsidies can narrow that
> > gap, but the current low prices mean that it is cheaper to burn coal,
> > even after paying penalties for the carbon dioxide emissions.
> > The United Nations says that 40 percent of the world's power
> > generating capacity has to be replaced in the next 5 to 10 years. Six
> > months ago, high oil prices, easy credit and political pressure led
> > many governments to promote biofuels, wind farms and nuclear projects
> > and phase out fossil fuel plants. But the logic of spending more on
> > such plants has at least partly evaporated.
> > "If because of the current economic scenario, you choose cheap and
> > dirty, we'll be in big trouble," Mr. de Boer said.
> > Paradoxically, it may not look that way, at least at first. One big
> > short-term effect of the economic situation is likely to be a
> > reduction of emissions from the developing world. In the decade after
> > the Eastern bloc countries gained independence in 1989, pollution
> > dropped precipitously, as Soviet-era heavy industry shut down.
> > Emissions dropped sharply between 1990 and 2000, only to start
> > rebounding in the boom years after 2000. By 2006, for example,
> > emissions dropped by 1 percent in industrialized countries (mostly
> > those in Western Europe) that report their emissions to the United
> > Nations. At the same time, they increased by 3 percent in the so
> > called "economies in transition," including the former Soviet bloc
> > states of Eastern Europe.
> > In the current global recession China could follow a similar
> > trajectory.
> > The number of cement plants in China rose to 7,000 from 3,000 from the
> > year 2002 to 2007, as China built new cities at a record pace. That
> > catapulted China to top of the list of global emitters, more than a
> > decade earlier than scientists had anticipated just a few years
> > before.
> > Yet straight-line projections about China's emissions are now again in
> > question, said Trevor Houser, a visiting fellow at the Washington-
> > based Peterson Institute for International Economics.
> > "Demand for goods like steel, cement and aluminum is contracting
> > severely, so the energy used to produce them is also severely down,"
> > he said.
> > Last month, he said, China's energy use fell by 4 percent compared
> > with the same month in 2007. A year ago, use was growing at an annual
> > rate of 15 percent.
> > That may ultimately be a good thing for the Chinese economy as well as
> > the environment, because heavy industry produces heavy emissions, but
> > very few jobs.
> > Indeed, the slowdown may provide an opportunity for China, too, to
> > reinvent itself with investment in a greener economy. "Slower energy
> > demand provides an opportunity to move away from coal," he said.
> > Still, such benefits may be more apparent to environmentalists than to
> > factory owners and finance ministers trying to meet budgets and make
> > profits. The European Union estimates that it will cost Italian
> > industry 13 billion euros, about $16.7 billion, to reduce emissions.
> > Italy puts the cost up to 27 billion euros, which is says it cannot
> > afford.
> > "Transitions are expensive, but this one will help avoid the ups and
> > downs we've recently seen," Ms. Helfferich said. "This is a short-term
> > bitter apple to create new sectors that are conducive to fighting
> > climate change and jobs as well."
> >
>


-- 
gnothe se auton

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