GOOD STUFF! Thanks!
NYC and chitcago going into blackoutfor days or weeks is one way to
cure the problems. Though the stench would be bad for several weeks or
months.
Craig via Mercedes wrote:
On Wed, 9 May 2018 19:17:09 -0400 (EDT) Mitch Haley via Mercedes
<mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
If it might be good for you, California will shove it down your throat,
I mean, mandate it:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-09/california-votes-to-require-rooftop-solar-power-on-new-homes
California became the first U.S. state to require solar panels on
almost all new homes, sending the clearest signal yet that rooftop
power is moving beyond a niche market and becoming the norm.
From another email list I'm on:
Here (http://wiseenergy.org/Energy/NY/NYISO_Report.pdf) is a fascinating
and revealing news article behind a paywall that I’m alerting you to. It
is about just a few of the complications that will result from
NYS’s Clean Energy Standard
(https://www.nyserda.ny.gov/All-Programs/Programs/Clean-Energy-Standard) (CES).
It discusses, the NYISO (the NYS electric grid operator) 2018 Power
Trends Report
(http://www.nyiso.com/public/webdocs/media_room/publications_presentations/Power_Trends/Power_Trends/2018-Power-Trends.pdf)
which
(paraphrasing Churchill): defends itself against the risk of being read
by its very length and obfuscating technical jargon.
Note that the article observations are coming from a top NYISO
(http://www.nyiso.com/public/index.jsp) person. In other words this
is someone on the electrical energy front lines who is struggling to deal
with political energy policies — which (in NY) are divorced from Science
or economics, and are completely oblivious of the technical consequences.
Seeing these unusually frank insider observations, should be an
eye-opener.
As an overview, there are several startling acknowledgements, essentially
saying: 1 - Wind energy is an unrelentingly unpredictable and
uncontrollable energy source, 2 - Increasing wind energy on the grid is
causing serious reliability issues, 3 - Wind energy has very little
Capacity Value, and that has not been adequately addressed, 4 - Due to
the inherent nature of wind energy it must be permanently paired with
gas, 5 - Adding more wind energy to the grid will require substantially
more gas to be added to the grid, 6 - The costs to deal with wind energy
on the grid are rapidly increasing, 7 - None of the costs incurred by
wind energy are directly attributed to wind energy, 8 - There are similar
major issues with solar, also not quite as severe, 9 - None of the
politicians or NGOs promoting wind or solar are acknowledging any of
these issues, 10-“Stakeholders” are currently discussing a carbon tax, to
make this situation even worse.
What else do you need to know to confirm that we are headed for a
catastrophe? Well, there’s more…
Note that there is a very strong parallel here with the US mortgage
meltdown of several years ago — which led to a world-wide major economic
downturn. After the fact, when insiders were interviewed about what
happened, they acknowledged that everyone-in-the-know knew that
the lending, etc. policies put in place (by lobbyists) were guaranteed to
fail.
Unless major changes are made quickly, several years from now there will
be experts commenting on how the US energy grid failure (which will lead
to a collapse of our economy, and our national security, and our
society), was entirely predictable based on the self-serving unscientific
energy policies put in place by lobbyists.
If you think this is an exaggeration, simply shut off the electricity in
a major city, and see quickly it is before chaos and lawlessness ensues.
Now do the same for an entire region. Etc.
Once you’ve grasped the magnitude of that, you’ll understand why the
Russians have put so much effort into promoting US energy policies that
are completely non-sensical — to anyone but them. (See Subverting US
Energy Policies
(http://wiseenergy.org/Energy/Subverting_US_Energy_Policies.pdf) for more
details.)
The ONLY solution is to change our energy policies to be Science-based —
starting with dumping the absurd “All of the Above” slogan, and replacing
it with “All of the Sensible” as a national energy mantra.
The good news here is that this calamity is 100% preventable….
Let me know any questions.
regards,
john droz, jr.
physicist
———————————————————————————————
PS — See this insightful article
(https://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2017/07/10/americas-next-energy-crisis/#53022ae01629),
on the exact same subject.
PPS — After reading the Politico piece yesterday, a NYS utility expert
shared with me several observations, including the following: "A close
colleague of mine worked at NYSERDA and is familiar with NYS
agencies. We both acknowledge that there are many staff people at DPS,
DEC and NYISO who know this is going to end badly. However, the
micro-management of the agencies and the overt pressure on the NYISO
to not be independent from the Administration, is keeping dissent under
wraps. The only people that the NY political administration listens to,
are those that say what they want to hear. "Reading the Politico article
and the platitudes about incentivizing rapid response resources makes me
want to either laugh or cry. Just as there was not enough private
interest in offshore wind so NYPA had to step in, I guarantee that no
private developer will want to develop a new gas turbine plant. There is
no business case for such a development in NYS. The problem is that the
only way this issue will be recognized as important is when it gets to a
crisis at best, and at worst after some blackouts occur."
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