RENEWABLESWorld could install 1T watts of clean energy by 2023Published:
Tuesday, October 9, 2018

The world could install more than a trillion watts of renewable power over
the next five years, more than the entire current generation capacity of
the European Union.

The International Energy Agency's latest annual report on renewables
forecasts as much as an extra 1.3 terawatts of clean energy will be
installed by 2023 under one scenario. Even in its more conservative central
forecast, the agency predicts that global renewable energy capacity will
grow by 1 terawatt, driven by a boom in solar installations and more
accommodating government policy.

The positive outlook for clean energy comes with a warning that government
support and market design is critical to ensuring that renewables continue
to be invested in and built.

Energy from solar, wind and hydro will continue to outpace natural gas and
coal over the next five years, the IEA said. Generation from natural gas
will be squeezed by cheap coal and ever more competitive solar and wind
technologies.

Despite renewable energy expanding its share of global electricity output
to 30 percent by 2023, growing coal generation in Asia means that the
dirtiest fossil fuel will remain the largest source of power in the world.

Hydropower is forecast to increase 12 percent over the next five years and
will still be the largest renewable electricity generation source by 2023.
Wind output is expected to increase its share by two-thirds to 7 percent.
Solar power is seen tripling, overtaking bioenergy to become the
third-largest source of renewable energy.

China will be responsible for 41 percent of global renewable growth, adding
438 gigawatts of clean energy to become the largest consumer of green
energy in the world, overtaking the E.U., the IEA said. Almost half of
Brazil's total power consumption will come from renewables by 2023, in
large part down to hydro and bioenergy.

The IEA focused on "modern bioenergy," saying it is the "blind spot" of the
renewables world even though it accounted for half of all clean energy
consumed in 2017. Most modern bioenergy, which includes liquid fuels
produced from plants, gas from anaerobic digestion and wood pellets, is
used to heat buildings in industry. It excludes traditional bioenergy,
which comes from biomass such as wood and animal waste.

"Modern bioenergy is the overlooked giant of the renewable energy field,"
said Fatih Birol, the IEA's executive director. "We expect modern bioenergy
will continue to lead the field and has huge prospects for further growth."

Only bioenergy that reduces life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions while
avoiding social, environmental, and economic impacts should have a future
role in a clean energy system, the IEA said.

Global carbon dioxide emissions from energy use climbed 1.6 percent in 2017
after three years of little change.

Coal currently feeds about 27 percent of the world's energy demand. That
proportion is likely to drop to about 22 percent in 2040 as governments
move toward cleaner energy policy, according to the IEA's last World Energy
Outlook in 2017. The agency's next global report will be published in
November. *— Jeremy Hodges, Bloomberg*
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