Still pretty hard to really prove that data isn't it? 100,000+ deaths in the
US in 4 months is 3x+ what the flu would get over twice that period. It'll take
a long time before we antibody test enough people to really prove those numbers.
Based on how the US numbers continue to inch down I'm thinking that having a
bad "early" COVID season might be a good thing for our later results. Brazil's
numbers are terrible and rising and thats after having very low numbers in the
initial 4 months.
-Curt
On Friday, June 12, 2020, 4:20:37 PM EDT, Max Dillon via Mercedes
<mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/#latest
1. According to the latest immunological and serological studies, the overall
lethality of Covid-19 (IFR) is about
0.1%[https://swprs.org/studies-on-covid-19-lethality/] and thus in the range of
a strong seasonal
influenza[https://www.ebm-netzwerk.de/en/publications/covid-19] (flu).
2. Even in global “hotspots”, the risk of death for the general population of
school and working age is typically in the range of a daily car ride to
work[https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054361v1]. The risk
was initially overestimated because many people with only mild or no symptoms
were not taken into account.
Max Dillon
Charleston SC
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