The balance that is the main challenge is how to maintain an economy,
allow personal rights, and mitigate disease spread. Everyone has the
answer depending on various orientations but none of them seem to strike
the balance effectively. I have just kinda decided to go about life,
take some precautions, but recognizing sooner or later getting infected
is a high probability no matter what. A vaccine is a long time away, if
it would even be effective
--FT
On 6/13/20 11:58 AM, OK Don via Mercedes wrote:
Our numbers are still rising in this part of the country. With little to no
testing we will probably never know the full extent of the disease.
On Fri, Jun 12, 2020 at 9:47 PM Curt Raymond via Mercedes <
mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
Still pretty hard to really prove that data isn't it? 100,000+ deaths in
the US in 4 months is 3x+ what the flu would get over twice that period.
It'll take a long time before we antibody test enough people to really
prove those numbers.
Based on how the US numbers continue to inch down I'm thinking that having
a bad "early" COVID season might be a good thing for our later results.
Brazil's numbers are terrible and rising and thats after having very low
numbers in the initial 4 months.
-Curt
On Friday, June 12, 2020, 4:20:37 PM EDT, Max Dillon via Mercedes <
mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/#latest
1. According to the latest immunological and serological studies, the
overall lethality of Covid-19 (IFR) is about 0.1%[
https://swprs.org/studies-on-covid-19-lethality/] and thus in the range
of a strong seasonal influenza[
https://www.ebm-netzwerk.de/en/publications/covid-19] (flu).
2. Even in global “hotspots”, the risk of death for the general population
of school and working age is typically in the range of a daily car ride to
work[https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054361v1]. The
risk was initially overestimated because many people with only mild or no
symptoms were not taken into account.
Max Dillon
Charleston SC
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--
--FT
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