Feel free to. Are you planning an annual event of sorts? ;)

On Thu, Feb 18, 2016 at 4:00 PM, Volker Eckl <vol...@wikimedia.org> wrote:

> Tilman, is it ok to cite "December 20, 2015 will forever be engraved in
> Wikimedia history as the first day where mobile pageviews surpassed desktop
> pageviews (51% vs. 49%)"
> on the Internetz?
>
> On Thu, Feb 18, 2016 at 2:46 PM, Oliver Keyes <oke...@wikimedia.org>
> wrote:
>
>> Hey Tilman,
>>
>> I would really like to thank you for producing these reports. They're
>> wonderfully informative, great for transparency, and something more teams
>> should be doing. I'm personally gonna be stealing a leaf from your book and
>> doing something similar :).
>>
>> On 18 February 2016 at 17:37, Tilman Bayer <tba...@wikimedia.org> wrote:
>>
>>> Hi all,
>>>
>>> this resumes the usual look at our most important readership metrics.
>>> Among other things, this time we observe the annual Christmas slump in
>>> pageviews, hail the advent of the mobile singularity (December saw the
>>> first ever day with >50% mobile pageviews), and resolve the mystery of the
>>> Android app’s installation drop since mid November.
>>>
>>> As laid out earlier
>>> <https://lists.wikimedia.org/pipermail/mobile-l/2015-September/009773.html>,
>>> the main purpose is to raise awareness about how these are developing, call
>>> out the impact of any unusual events in the preceding week, and facilitate
>>> thinking about core metrics in general. We are still iterating on the
>>> presentation; feedback and discussion welcome.
>>>
>>> After switching away from the weekly schedule (week-over-week and
>>> month-over-month changes are now being recorded on the Product page
>>> <https://www.mediawiki.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Product#Reading> at
>>> MediaWiki.org) we also skipped an issue and added one week, so this edition
>>> of the report covers a timespan of nine weeks.
>>>
>>> See also the slides from the Reading team’s quarter review meeting
>>> <https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/WMF_Metrics_and_activities_meetings/Quarterly_reviews/Reading_and_Community_Tech,_January_2016>
>>> on January 20 for an in-depth look at various metrics.
>>>
>>> Now to the usual data. (All numbers below are averages for December 7,
>>> 2015 to February 7, 2016 unless otherwise noted.)
>>>
>>> Pageviews
>>>
>>> Total: 529 million/day
>>>
>>> Context (April 2015-February 2016):
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> (see also the Vital Signs dashboard
>>> <https://vital-signs.wmflabs.org/#projects=all/metrics=Pageviews>)
>>>
>>> Total pageviews saw a sharp drop about a week before Christmas (almost
>>> entirely on desktop), coinciding with a drop
>>> <http://discovery.wmflabs.org/external/#traffic_by_engine> in Google
>>> referrals. But both recovered in early January, even rising above earlier
>>> levels, thanks to mobile (cf. below). Historical data from one and two
>>> years ago shows a very similar slump in total and desktop pageviews in the
>>> second half of December (with a lasting increase in mobile around
>>> Christmas, too), so I’m interpreting this as seasonal even though it
>>> preceded the actual holidays by a few days. In January 2014, traffic did
>>> not fully recover to the levels of November/early December. In January
>>> 2015, it rose slightly above them, similar to now.
>>>
>>> Desktop: 54.3%
>>>
>>> Mobile web: 44.4%
>>>
>>> Apps: 1.3%
>>>
>>> Context (April 2015-February 2016):
>>>
>>>
>>> December 20, 2015 will forever be engraved in Wikimedia history as the
>>> first day where mobile pageviews surpassed desktop pageviews (51% vs. 49%).
>>> It was a Sunday - as we have known for a long time, mobile usage is higher
>>> on weekends. In general, the mobile percentage over a whole week still
>>> remains well below 50%. But even as desktop pageviews recovered from the
>>> Christmas slump at the beginning of January, the mobile percentage remains
>>> roughly 2% higher than before mid-December - quite likely due to a lot of
>>> new phones entering usage as Christmas presents.
>>>
>>> Global North ratio: 78.3% of total pageviews
>>>
>>> Context (April 2015-February 2016):
>>>
>>> New app installations
>>>
>>> Android: 38.4k/day
>>>
>>> Daily installs per device, from Google Play
>>>
>>> Context (January 2015-February 2016):
>>>
>>> As reported earlier, the app was featured twice on Google Play in recent
>>> months, and we can now estimate how many additional installs each may have
>>> caused. November’s placement in the “new and updated” section appears to
>>> have brought in more than 200k installs, and from early December to early
>>> January, the apps was featured as one of the “Best Apps of 2015” in many
>>> countries, resulting in around 350k additional installs.
>>>
>>> The preceding reports also described how we noticed a sharp drop in the
>>> new install rate around November 12, and started investigating the cause
>>> with our contact at Google. After some detective work, it turned out that
>>> the app had been benefitting (since April) from a new feature
>>> <https://googlewebmastercentral.blogspot.com/2015/04/drive-app-installs-through-app-indexing.html>
>>> in Google Search showing install buttons for a website’s app next to search
>>> results from that site for general search terms. Google ended this
>>> experiment in November, causing the app’s baseline install rate to drop
>>> significantly (coincidentally around the end of the “new and updated”
>>> promotion). Going forward, this means that the ongoing growth rate
>>> (installs minus uninstalls) remains much lower than it was during most of
>>> 2015.
>>>
>>>
>>> iOS: 4.94k/day
>>>
>>> Download numbers from App Annie
>>>
>>> Context (last three months):
>>>
>>> Like for the Android app, there was a notable bump around Christmas, but
>>> also an even larger spike on January 14 - the reason is not clear to us.
>>>
>>> App user retention
>>>
>>> Android: 16.8%
>>>
>>> (Ratio of app installs opened again 7 days after installation, among all
>>> installed during the previous week. 1:100 sample)
>>>
>>> Context (last four months):
>>>
>>> Retention for installations since around Christmas appears to be higher;
>>> but the data is quite noisy.
>>>
>>> iOS: N/A
>>>
>>> (Ratio of app installs opened again 7 days after installation, among all
>>> installed during the previous week. From iTunes Connect, opt-in only = ca.
>>> 20-30% of all users)
>>>
>>> As reported earlier, we encountered data quality issues with this
>>> metric. We eventually received an explanation from Apple last week, but it
>>> doesn’t look very satisfactory for our purposes. We are now working
>>> <https://phabricator.wikimedia.org/T126693> to measure retention
>>> ourselves via EventLogging, like we do on Android.
>>> Unique app users
>>>
>>> Android: 1.206 million / day
>>>
>>> Context (last four months):
>>>
>>> A clearly visible and lasting increase around Christmas, which again
>>> indicates that the retention rates for the install peak around that time
>>> were higher than during the install peaks caused by the Google Play
>>> promotions (even though they resulted in more installs initially).
>>>
>>> iOS: 303 k / day
>>>
>>> Context (last four months):
>>>
>>> Similar to Android, a clearly visible and lasting increase around
>>> Christmas.
>>>
>>> ----
>>>
>>> For reference, the queries and source links used are listed below
>>> (access is needed for each). Unless otherwise noted, all content of this
>>> report is © Wikimedia Foundation and released under the CC BY-SA 3.0
>>> <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/> license. Most of the
>>> above charts are available on Commons, too
>>> <https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:ListFiles&offset=20150923010000&user=Tbayer+%28WMF%29&ilshowall=1&limit=4>
>>> .
>>>
>>> hive (wmf)> SELECT SUM(view_count)/(7000000*9) AS
>>> avg_daily_views_millions FROM wmf.projectview_hourly WHERE agent_type =
>>> 'user' AND CONCAT(year,"-",LPAD(month,2,"0"),"-",LPAD(day,2,"0")) BETWEEN
>>> "2015-12-07" AND "2016-02-07";
>>>
>>> hive (wmf)> SELECT year, month, day,
>>> CONCAT(year,"-",LPAD(month,2,"0"),"-",LPAD(day,2,"0")) as date,
>>> sum(IF(access_method <> 'desktop', view_count, null)) AS mobileviews,
>>> SUM(view_count) AS allviews FROM wmf.projectview_hourly WHERE year > 0 AND
>>> agent_type = 'user' GROUP BY year, month, day ORDER BY year, month, day
>>> LIMIT 1000;
>>>
>>> hive (wmf)> SELECT access_method, SUM(view_count)/7 FROM
>>> wmf.projectview_hourly WHERE agent_type = 'user' AND
>>> CONCAT(year,"-",LPAD(month,2,"0"),"-",LPAD(day,2,"0")) BETWEEN "2015-12-07"
>>> AND "2016-02-07" GROUP BY access_method;
>>>
>>> hive (wmf)> SELECT SUM(IF (FIND_IN_SET(country_code,
>>> 'AD,AL,AT,AX,BA,BE,BG,CH,CY,CZ,DE,DK,EE,ES,FI,FO,FR,FX,GB,GG,GI,GL,GR,HR,HU,IE,IL,IM,IS,IT,JE,LI,LU,LV,MC,MD,ME,MK,MT,NL,NO,PL,PT,RO,RS,RU,SE,SI,SJ,SK,SM,TR,VA,AU,CA,HK,MO,NZ,JP,SG,KR,TW,US')
>>> > 0, view_count, 0))/SUM(view_count)  FROM wmf.projectview_hourly WHERE
>>> agent_type = 'user' AND
>>> CONCAT(year,"-",LPAD(month,2,"0"),"-",LPAD(day,2,"0")) BETWEEN "2015-12-07"
>>> AND "2016-02-07";
>>>
>>> hive (wmf)> SELECT year, month, day,
>>> CONCAT(year,"-",LPAD(month,2,"0"),"-",LPAD(day,2,"0")), SUM(view_count) AS
>>> all, SUM(IF (FIND_IN_SET(country_code,
>>> 'AD,AL,AT,AX,BA,BE,BG,CH,CY,CZ,DE,DK,EE,ES,FI,FO,FR,FX,GB,GG,GI,GL,GR,HR,HU,IE,IL,IM,IS,IT,JE,LI,LU,LV,MC,MD,ME,MK,MT,NL,NO,PL,PT,RO,RS,RU,SE,SI,SJ,SK,SM,TR,VA,AU,CA,HK,MO,NZ,JP,SG,KR,TW,US')
>>> > 0, view_count, 0)) AS Global_North_views FROM wmf.projectview_hourly
>>> WHERE year > 0 AND agent_type='user' GROUP BY year, month, day ORDER BY
>>> year, month, day LIMIT 1000;
>>>
>>>
>>> https://console.developers.google.com/storage/browser/pubsite_prod_rev_02812522755211381933/stats/installs/
>>> (“overview”)
>>>
>>>
>>> https://www.appannie.com/dashboard/252257/item/324715238/downloads/?breakdown=country&date=2015-12-07~2016-02-07&chart_type=downloads&countries=ALL
>>> (select “Total”)
>>>
>>> SELECT LEFT(timestamp, 8) AS date, SUM(IF(event_appInstallAgeDays = 0,
>>> 1, 0)) AS day0_active, SUM(IF(event_appInstallAgeDays = 7, 1, 0)) AS
>>> day7_active FROM log.MobileWikiAppDailyStats_12637385 WHERE userAgent LIKE
>>> '%-r-%' AND userAgent NOT LIKE '%Googlebot%' GROUP BY date ORDER BY DATE;
>>>
>>> (with the retention rate calculated as day7_active divided by
>>> day0_active from seven days earlier, of course)
>>>
>>> https://analytics.itunes.apple.com/#/retention?app=324715238
>>>
>>> hive (wmf)> SELECT
>>> CONCAT(year,"-",LPAD(month,2,"0"),"-",LPAD(day,2,"0")) as date,
>>> unique_count AS Android_DAU FROM wmf.mobile_apps_uniques_daily WHERE
>>> platform = 'Android';
>>>
>>> hive (wmf)> SELECT
>>> CONCAT(year,"-",LPAD(month,2,"0"),"-",LPAD(day,2,"0")) as date,
>>> unique_count AS iOS_DAU FROM wmf.mobile_apps_uniques_daily WHERE platform =
>>> 'iOS';
>>>
>>>
>>> --
>>> Tilman Bayer
>>> Senior Analyst
>>> Wikimedia Foundation
>>> IRC (Freenode): HaeB
>>>
>>> _______________________________________________
>>> Analytics mailing list
>>> analyt...@lists.wikimedia.org
>>> https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/analytics
>>>
>>>
>>
>>
>> --
>> Oliver Keyes
>> Count Logula
>> Wikimedia Foundation
>>
>> _______________________________________________
>> Mobile-l mailing list
>> Mobile-l@lists.wikimedia.org
>> https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/mobile-l
>>
>>
>


-- 
Tilman Bayer
Senior Analyst
Wikimedia Foundation
IRC (Freenode): HaeB
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