I know when I ran the CBC for the Audubon Chapter of Minneapolis we found a
huge flock feeding on Buckthorn berries in Island's of Peace Park in
Fridley, MN in 2001. It was a flock of over 1000 birds.  I think their
winter numbers are tied to food, and temperature.

On Thu, Dec 6, 2018 at 6:18 PM JULIAN SELLERS <juliansell...@msn.com> wrote:

> I think hackberries play a role.  I don't know when the cities began
> planting hackberry trees on boulevards, but I think it was not many decades
> ago.  Most of the trees do not look very old.  Did large crops of
> hackberries begin to appear within the last 10 or 15 years?
>
> On the 2008 St. Paul (North) CBC, my team had the area west of Cleveland
> Avenue and south of Marshall Avenue/Lake Street, extending south to the
> Ford Dam and west past the Hiawatha grain elevators in Minneapolis.  We
> counted 808 American Robins.  As I recall, about 650 of them were feeding
> on Hackberries on the Summit Avenue median in the two blocks between Cretin
> and Cleveland Avenues.
>
> It seems to me that robins become scarcer in late December, as the
> hackberry supply is depleted.
>
> Julian
> ________________________________
> From: Minnesota Birds <MOU-NET@LISTS.UMN.EDU> on behalf of Rebecca Field <
> rebeccafiel...@gmail.com>
> Sent: Thursday, December 6, 2018 6:21 PM
> To: MOU-NET@LISTS.UMN.EDU
> Subject: Re: [mou-net] Northern Raven/Number Winter Robins
>
> I just heard this evening that Robins eat Buckthorn berries. Of course, we
> are trying to eradicate that invasive. I hope that isn’t causing less food
> for the robins.
>
> Becky Field
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
> > On Dec 6, 2018, at 5:36 PM, Jason Frank <jmfran...@gmail.com> wrote:
> >
> > It would be interesting to compare the data of outstate CBCs as well.
> > I haven't lived in Minneapolis during winter since 1997, and it seemed
> > noteworthy to me to see large numbers of robins in the winter. A few
> > years ago I visited Minnehaha Falls around Christmas and couldn't
> > believe how many there were, though I just figured they were local
> > birds who stayed for the open water along the creek and had reliable
> > food sources nearby.  Those numbers from Val show a pretty stark
> > increase, which to my eyes fits the trend of climate change.
> >
> > But... having lived in the Lac qui Parle area since 09, I can't say
> > I've seen many impressive winter flocks except during the mildest
> > winters of the last decade, and those birds were usually seen in town
> > or at parks, and not out in the countryside for the most part.
> >
> > Since the Twin Cities urban heat island effect means the temperature
> > averages there would be trending warmer than elsewhere in the state, I
> > wonder if outstate robins have gotten into the habit of migrating into
> > cities and towns, rather than further south? Collating banding data
> > with rural CBCs might shed some more light on the case.
> >
> >> On 12/6/18, GREG ELIZABETH CLOSMORE <closmor...@msn.com> wrote:
> >> Buckthorn!
> >>
> >>> On Dec 6, 2018, at 4:32 PM, Val Landwehr
> >>> <0000012f44857088-dmarc-requ...@lists.umn.edu> wrote:
> >>>
> >>> I was intrigued by the discussion of whether in recent years
> >>> more robins are being seen during winter in the Twin Cities(Charles
> Neil,
> >>> Mary White and J. Baumann). I think that I
> >>> have seen more robins, particularly in large flocks, in
> >>> recent years. To put this hypothesis to the test I looked at the
> >>> results from four Christmas Bird Counts over the years that are
> >>> online at the Minnesota Ornithologists' Union website. The
> >>> Christmas Bird Counts I checked were Bloomington CBC, St. Paul
> >>> (North) CBC, Excelsior CBC and the Minneapolis (North) CBC.
> >>> I found a distinct trend of more robins being counted during
> >>> the counts since the winter of 1996 than were in prior years.
> >>> The numbers vary widely each year, but there is a distinct
> >>> inflection point around 1996 for a larger number of robinssince that
> date
> >>> than prior to it. Since 1996, the number ofrobins counted varies
> greatly
> >>> from year to year, but I don't
> >>> see any clear evidence that the numbers are continuing to
> >>> increase.
> >>> Average number of robins counted at Twin Cities CBCs:
> >>>       Bloomington  St. Paul (North)  Minneapolis (North)  Excelsior
> >>> Pre         21.2                   17.1              2.5
> >>>      5.3
> >>> 1996
> >>> 1996-    367.4                420.5           114.6
> >>> 181.2
> >>> 2017
> >>>
> >>> Median number of robins counted at Twin Cities CBCs:
> >>>       Bloomington  St. Paul (North)  Minneapolis (North)  Excelsior
> >>> Pre           5                      6                         0
> >>>            1
> >>> 1996
> >>> 1996-     278                255                        26
> >>>  132
> >>> 2017
> >>> I considered that the increased number of robins might reflect
> >>> more birders participating in these Christmas counts as well
> >>> as an increase in birding skills. If there are more skillful
> >>> birders involved in these counts I would expect a similar
> >>> increase in the counts of other species. So I looked at the
> >>> counts reported by the Bloomington CBC for the black-capped
> >>> chickadee, blue jay and dark-eyed junco. I didn't find any
> >>> trends or long term changes in the number of these species.
> >>> Therefore, I'm convinced that the increased number of winter
> >>> robins is real.
> >>> I didn't attempt to see if there is a link between the increasein the
> >>> number of robins counted and weather/climate.
> >>> That leaves a question in my mind. Are the larger counts just
> >>> a reflection that the Twin Cities population of robins has
> >>> increased but the same proportion of that population is
> >>> overwintering as in the past or have the overwintering habits
> >>> of the robins changed?
> >>> The CBC data speaks only to the presence of robins in December.
> >>> Maybe the only change is when the robins migrate to warmer
> >>> regions. Maybe if we had many years of counts for January and
> >>> early February we would find that the number of robins in
> >>> those months hasn't changed much over the years. As Manley
> >>> Olson pointed out, once the robins exhaust the availability of
> >>> crab apples, perhaps they head south and are now just as
> >>> uncommon in January and February as they were back in the
> >>> 1950s through 1980s.
> >>> Val Landwehr
> >>> Minneapolis
> >>>
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> >
> >
> > --
> > Jason M. Frank
> > Ortonville Public Library
> > Founder & Vice President
> > Luddite Ornithologists League (LOL)
> > Big Stone County, Minnesota
> >
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