Jason Johnston wrote: > > DeMoN LaG wrote: > > Actually it's a complete lie by JTK. He quoted a website that showed > > Mozilla had .75% market share. Last I checked, that same site shows > > 3.0% market share. > > Would you mind posting a link to that website here? I'd much appreciate > it. Thanks. > --J
He won't, but I'd *LOVE* to! Here ya go, this is the one he's referring to: http://www.upsdell.com/BrowserNews/stat.htm OH MY! LOOK, IT'S UP TO 8%! WHY AT THIS RATE, IT'LL BE UP TO 689% IN A WEEK AND A HALF! Oh, no, wait: "Source 3 stats are from this domain (www.upsdell.com): because of its special audience, its stats apply to a narrow segment of the population." Looks like the most reliable number there is 0.85% today. A far cry from LaGgy's mystical 3%, no? In the interest of accurate statistics, we need a random sampling... AH! Here we go, "counter.com", that sounds pretty random: http://www.thecounter.com/stats/2002/February/browser.php Oof, that one says 0%! Lemme get that scientific calculator out here... ooof, less than 0.8%. But that's just this month, let's check out last month... Oh man, STILL 0%! Well, let's get a little more accurate this time: ...carry the one...reciprocal...smiley face... here we go: oh God. Less than 0.73%. Well, growth rate! Yeah, what's that looking like, let's go back a year! Oh dear, less than 0.28%. So it's still buried in the noise after all these years. But if we apply Dr. LaGgy's Exponential Growth Hormone Statistics, let's see: 0.73/0.28 ~= 2.6x more users per year, so in one year we'll have... oh, only 1.8% market share. But in 2004 Mozilla will have... ah, yeah, 4.9% market share. Well yeah but come 2005 Mozilla will really start to take off with... well, 12.8%, that's getting there. Multiplicatively. And by 2006, what, ten years after Mozilla's inception, Mozilla will have a full ONE THIRD OF THE MARKET!!!! Of course the internet will have been replaced by implants or something by then, BUT STILL!!! IT'S A PYRRHIC VICTORY!!! Well, it will be, in 2007, when Mozilla FINALLY breaks the 50% market share mark. Assuming multiplicative growth, and no motion by Microsoft. Hold your breath at your own peril.
