On Mon, 15 Jan 2024 at 06:18, Forrest Christian (List Account) < li...@packetflux.com> wrote:
If 50٪ of the servers and 50% of the clients can do IPv6, the amount of > IPv6 traffic will be around 25% since both ends have to do IPv6. > This assumes cosmological principle applies to the Internet, but Internet traffic is not uniformly distributed. It is entirely possible, and even reasonable, that AMSIX ~5% and GOOG 40% are bps shares, and both are correct. Because AMSIX sees large entropy between A-B end-points, GOOG sees very low entropy, it being always the B. Certain tier1 transit network could see traffic being >50% IPv6 between two specific pops, so great IPv6 adoption? Except it was a single CDN sending traffic from them to them, if you'd exclude that CDN flows between the pop, the IPv6 traffic share was low single digit percentage. I am not saying IPv6 traffic is not increasing, I am saying that we are not doing any favours to anyone, pretending we are on-track and that this will happen, and that there are organic drivers which will ensure we are going to end up with IPV6-only Internet. -- ++ytti