Recognition Practice and Geopolitical Risk in Eastern Europe: Georgia, Kosovo 
and Beyond


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Jelena <http://www.rgemonitor.com/euro-monitor/bio/945/jelena_vukotic>  Vukotic 
| Sep 17, 2008 

 

In recognizing the two Georgian enclaves – South Ossetia and Abkhazia – Russia 
left no doubt that its decision was partly in retaliation for Western 
recognition of Kosovo, Serbia’s breakaway province. Moscow deeply opposed 
Kosovo’s independence and repeatedly warned recognition could set a precedent 
for other separatist regions. In return, western policy makers argued that 
Kosovo was a unique case, with no implications for other conflicts. Similarly, 
following the Russian recognition of the Georgian enclaves, western officials 
flatly rejected any parallels and maintained that the Kosovo case was only a 
convenient excuse for an increasingly assertive Moscow.That may be true, but 
the blame games and theoretical and legal debates only divert attention from 
the more serious point. Unilateral recognitions, whether justified or not, 
could influence other separatist movements which in turn could emphasize the 
exceptional nature of their own demands for statehood. The cases of the Kosovo 
and Georgian enclaves do, in effect, erode the international law of states’ 
sovereignty and the sanctity of borders and could thaw the two remaining 
‘frozen conflicts’ in the CIS region (Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan and 
Transnistria in Moldavia), fuel tensions in Ukraine’s Russians populated Crimea 
and again destabilize the region where the recent trend of violent state 
fragmentations actually began – the Balkans. It is worth remembering that the 
secessionist governments of both Abkhazia and South Ossetia repeatedly called 
for international recognition following Kosovo’s unilateral declaration of 
independence and argued that if Kosovo could break away, so could they. So who 
is next? 

 

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