The swine flu pandemic has been largely understated, its broad and rapid spread obscured by light, haphazard coverage, and its true virulence downplayed.
Here the Guardian provides a pretty candid summary of the situation in the UK. Below that is a piece from Argentina, noting one physician's claim that "the government is 'underreporting' the number of deaths and cases." Also, bacteriologists in Brazil have discovered a new strain of the virus, although they don't yet know if it's more lethal than the ones they've seen thus far: <http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jOVEa-TOAEQ3t1NAik9vzooON1FA>AFP: South America bears winter brunt of H1N1 pandemic Now, what we don't need is to have the media hype the danger--a move that would induce the sort of panic that the government could then exploit with soldiers in the streets and mandatory universal vaccination (with vaccines that themselves may well be lethal, or just ineffective). What we do need--and it's depressingly hard to imagine--is the sort of rational and honest coverage that a growing health emergency requires, but that the corporate media, by and large, can't and/or won't give us. We need honest coverage of the swine flu crisis, just as we need honest coverage of the economic meltdown--whose consequences also are far graver than our press and President would have us think. It's as if the whole United States has turned into that little Massachusetts beach resort in Jaws, where the authorities hush up a mortal danger. MCM <http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jul/02/swine-flu-uk> UK swine flu can no longer be contained Government moves to 'treatment phase' as health secretary says infection rate could reach 100,000 a day by end of August http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jul/02/swine-flu-uk <http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/swine-flu>Swine flu is spreading so rapidly across Britain that there could be 100,000 new cases a day by the end of next month, the health secretary, Andy Burnham, said today. The UK would immediately move to the "treatment phase" of its plan to combat swine <http://www.guardian.co.uk/lifeandstyle/flu>flu, meaning doctors would no longer test for the H1N1 virus and urge anyone with symptoms to stay at home, Burnham told the House of Commons. The first swine flu vaccine would be made available from August, with 60m doses available by the end of the year, he added. "We have reached the next stage in management of the disease," Burnham said. "The national focus will be on treating the increasing numbers affected by swine flu. We will move to this treatment phase across the UK with immediate effect." The move does not mean the H1N1 virus, which was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organisation last month, is becoming more deadly, just that it can no longer be contained. Burnham said there was a "considerable rise" in swine flu cases last week. "We have always known it would be impossible to contain the virus indefinitely and at some point we would need to move away from containment to treatment. "Cases are doubling every week and on this trend we could see over 100,000 cases per day by the end of August. "The pressure on the system is such that it is the right time to take this step. Scientists can expect to see rapid rises in the number of cases." The Health Protection Agency today announced that a further 518 patients in England had been confirmed with swine flu, while the figure for the UK as a whole rose to 7,447. Efforts to trace people who had been in contact with swine flu cases would now stop and schools no longer needed to close when hit by the virus, unless particular circumstances made it necessary. The government has said that not everybody with swine flu would receive anti-viral drugs, which may be reserved for at-risk groups. The daily collation of swine flu cases would also end because it was proving time-consuming. Instead, "more general" estimates of numbers would be given. Other affected countries already update their swine flu numbers less frequently, such as weekly or every other day. The official statistics on the virus were likely to underestimate the true scale of infection in the UK because now only a sample of patients in the hotspots had a diagnosis of swine flu confirmed by lab tests. Many people were thought to have such mild symptoms that they were not bothering to contact their doctors while others were being treated in surgeries without being regarded as suspected swine flu cases. In swine flu hotspots such as London, the West Midlands and parts of Scotland diagnosis of the virus was already being done by doctors rather than laboratory testing, and tracing the contacts of people with swine flu and the use of preventative anti-viral drugs had stopped. Anti-viral drugs were still being offered to all people with symptoms. Although a bout of swine flu was currently causing less serious illness than traditional seasonal flu, three people with other serious health conditions in the UK have died after catching the virus and there are concerns it could mutate into a more virulent form. The chief medical officer, Sir Liam Donaldson, has warned that there may be tens of thousands of cases each week this autumn, because the virus is more likely to thrive in a colder climate. June 30 | Argentina (AR) | 3 new deaths confirmed, class cancelled http://trancy.net/2009/06/30/june-30-argentina-ar-3-new-deaths-confirmed-class-cancelled/ Three more people died in Argentina after contracting influenza A, reported the chief of medicine at the Italian Hospital in Buenos Aires Alejandra Valledor during an interview to a local radio. The physician said the victims have "not been included" in the lists of influenza A fatalities made by the Health Ministry. Valledor claimed the government is "underreporting" the number of deaths and cases. The Health Minister has confirmed 29 deaths. She added that hospitals in different parts of the country have been "overcrowded" due to the large number of patients who contacted the deadly illness. Sources of the Emergency Room of the Argerich hospital told The Herald it had "collapsed" as a result of the large number of cases, and added that breathing machines might not be enough to cope with the growing demand. At least people have died of swine flu in that hospital in the city of Buenos Aires, including a 25-year-old man, the source added, describing the "incredibly speed of the illness, which leads people to cough to death in a matter of days." --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to Mark Crispin Miller's "News From Underground" newsgroup. To unsubscribe, send a blank email to newsfromunderground-unsubscr...@googlegroups.com OR go to http://groups.google.com/group/newsfromunderground and click on the "Unsubscribe or change membership" link in the yellow bar at the top of the page, then click the "Unsubscribe" button on the next page. 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