Very good points Erik. Thank you for your response.

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Erik Johnson
Sent: September 20, 2012 13:26
To: Nocturnal Flight Call ListServe
Subject: Re: [nfc-l] ID of NFCs

 

John, I recall a post on this list serve a few years back (Mike Lanzone in
PA?) where it was mentioned that Savannah Sparrows were a common NFC, but
were rarely encountered on the ground.  I suspect given the diversity of
habitats that our migrants use, it would be really tricky to make direct
comparisons because your ground counts are so dependent on the habitat you
are in.  But it might work for certain species that you sample well on the
ground, as you say.  And of course, something like eBird that compiles
observations across sites (and skill levels, and all the other biases of
bird watching), starts to get at a more regional picture of what is expected
when.  I like the idea of probabilistic identification (and FYI, Ted Floyd
blogged about this on his ABA blog a couple months back - interesting
concept).  Maybe eBird contains the "prior" that one needs to generate
probabilities around flight call complex "identification"?

 

Erik Johnson

S Lafayette, LA

ejohn33 AT lsu.edu

ejohnson AT audubon.org

 

 

 On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 11:07 AM, John Kearney
<[email protected]> wrote:

The discussion today reminds me of a similar train of thought that I've been
pondering lately. Namely, in today's world of birding and ornithology, we
require a high of degree of certainty when it comes to documenting the
classification of our observations to the species level. Basically,
photographic proof has become almost essential for rare species. When it
comes to night flight calls, the certitude of species identification becomes
very problematic. I am concerned that we might apply similar standards to
NFC identification as to bird observations.  Should we rather think of NFC
IDs more in terms of probabilities and error bars than certitude? I
personally feel this approach is worth pursuing if we wish to make more of a
contribution to bird migration and aeroecology. For example, where I in live
in Nova Scotia, the "zeep" warblers can be boiled down to about 6 species
that are difficult to identify. Thus while I might not be able to
distinguish the NFC of a Yellow Warbler from a Blackpoll Warbler, it is very
probable that this type of call in early August is a Yellow Warbler and such
a call in early September is a Blackpoll Warbler. This breakdown of all the
zeep warblers into probability categories is much more useful, I believe,
for understanding regional migration patterns than having them all lumped as
zeep warblers because we can't be certain of their identification to the
species level. How we calculate these probabilities is another question. I
have been doing stop-over transects in areas close to a recording station.
Although this analysis is not completed, I sense that there may be some
interesting correlations to be made between the species composition of
nocturnal migration and stop-over areas within a certain time frame.

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