Hi Ken,
Thank you again.  But, I have seen models with 10^5 and above with no
issues with covariance step and correlations not reaching 0.95 but some
with moderate levels.  It will be interesting to know other experiences.

The 10^n rule is from the PK-PD Data analysis, Gabrielsson and Weiner,
Edition 3, page 313.  I read this book most of my grad school days.

Regards,
Ayyappa

On Tue, Nov 29, 2022 at 9:35 AM Ken Kowalski <kgkowalsk...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Hi Ayyappa,
>
> I have not seen this rule but it strikes me as being too liberal to apply
> in pharmacometrics where n can be very large for the models we fit.  If we
> have a structural model with say n=4 or 5 parameters and then also
> investigate covariate effects on these parameters it would not be unusual
> to have a covariate model with n=20+ fixed effects parameters.  I doubt we
> can get the COV step to run such that we can observe a CN >10^20.
>
> I have not seen CN criteria indexed by n.  The classifications of
> collinearity  that I've seen based on CN are:
>
> Moderate:       100 <= CN < 1000
> High:           1000 <= CN < 10,000
> Extreme:        CN >= 10,000
>
> Ken
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Ayyappa Chaturvedula [mailto:ayyapp...@gmail.com]
> Sent: Tuesday, November 29, 2022 10:20 AM
> To: Ken Kowalski <kgkowalsk...@gmail.com>
> Cc: nmusers@globomaxnm.com
> Subject: Re: [NMusers] Condition number
>
> Thank you, Ken. It is very reassuring.
>
> I have also seen a discussion on other forums that Condition number as a
> function of dimension of problem (n). I am seeing contradiction between
> 10^n and a static >1000 approach. I am curious if someone can also comment
> on this and 10^n rule?
>
> Regards,
> Ayyappa
>
> > On Nov 29, 2022, at 9:04 AM, Ken Kowalski <kgkowalsk...@gmail.com>
> wrote:
> >
> > Hi Ayyappa,
> >
> > I think the condition number was first proposed as a statistic to
> > diagnose multicollinearity in multiple linear regression analyses
> > based on an eigenvalue analysis of the X'X matrix.  You can probably
> > search the statistical literature and multiple linear regression
> > textbooks to find various rules for the condition number as well as
> > other statistics related to the eigenvalue analysis.  For the CN<1000
> > rule I typically reference the following textbook:
> >
> > Montgomery and Peck (1982).  Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis.
> > Wiley, NY (pp. 301-302).
> >
> > The condition number is good at detecting model instability but it is
> > not very good for identifying the source.  Inspecting the correlation
> > matrix for extreme pairwise correlations is better suited for
> identifying the source of
> > the instability when it only involves a couple of parameters.   It
> becomes
> > more challenging to identify the source of the instability
> > (multicollinearity) when the CN>1000 but none of the pairwise
> > correlations are extreme |corr|>0.95.  Although when CN>1000 often we
> > will find several pairwise correlations that are moderately high
> > |corr|>0.7 but it may be hard to uncover a pattern or source of the
> > instability without trying alternative models that may eliminate one
> > or more of the parameters associated with these moderate to high
> correlations.
> >
> > Best,
> >
> > Ken
> >
> > Kenneth G. Kowalski
> > Kowalski PMetrics Consulting, LLC
> > Email: kgkowalsk...@gmail.com
> > Cell:    248-207-5082
> >
> >
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: owner-nmus...@globomaxnm.com
> > [mailto:owner-nmus...@globomaxnm.com] On Behalf Of Ayyappa
> > Chaturvedula
> > Sent: Tuesday, November 29, 2022 8:52 AM
> > To: nmusers@globomaxnm.com
> > Subject: [NMusers] Condition number
> >
> > Dear all,
> > I am wondering if someone can provide references for the condition
> > number thresholds we are seeing (<1000) etc. Also, the other way I
> > have seen when I was in graduate school that condition number <10^n
> > (n- number of parameters) is OK. Personally, I am depending on
> > correlation matrix rather than condition number and have seen cases
> > where condition number is large (according to 1000 rule but less than
> > 10^n rule) but correlation matrix is fine.
> >
> > I want to provide these for my teaching purposes and any help is
> > greatly appreciated.
> >
> > Regards,
> > Ayyappa
> >
> >
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